Result
2:3
16/09/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 26
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.42 | 2.29 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
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| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (359/432) | 77% (244/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.42 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.43 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
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| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (359/432) | 77% (244/316) |
| Long passes |
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| 54% (34/63) | 27% (16/59) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 65% (71/110) | 69% (58/84) |
| Crosses |
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| 25% (5/20) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.90 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
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| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 71% (5/7) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
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| 20 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.45 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.55 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 37', Bruno Matias ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 38', Leo Vieira 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Viveros K. (Pen),
- 44', Patrick 🟨,
- 45+1', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 45+8', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 46', Everton ↓, Italo ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Eduardo Doma ⚽, Rafael Carvalheira (A),
- 53', 2 - 1, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Italo (A),
- 57', 2 - 2, Leo Derik ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
- 62', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
- 62', Mendoza S. ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 72', 2 - 3, Viveros K. ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
- 75', Bressan ↓, Bruno Leonardo ↑,
- 79', Viveros K. ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 87', Leo Derik ↓, Leo ↑,
- 88', Zapelli B. ↓, Raul ↑,
- 90', Joao Paulo ↓, Mailson ↑,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense 33.8% | Draw 29.7% | Athletico Paranaense 36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.76 ↑ (2.41) |
3.11 ↑ (2.99) |
2.56 ↓ (3) |
7.4% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.
- Chapecoense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Athletico PR has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Athletico Paranaense?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Chapecoense?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
08.05.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Chapecoense
1:1
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 37:22 | 15 | 64 |
| 2 | Athletico-PR | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:42 | 8 | 59 |
| 3 | Remo | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 59 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 50:33 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 45:32 | 13 | 58 |
| 6 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 58 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 36 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 57 |
| 8 | CRB | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 43:37 | 6 | 53 |
| 9 | Avai | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 51 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 46 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | America MG | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 41:52 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 41:48 | -7 | 40 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 35:50 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 23:40 | -17 | 34 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA ✔ | 36 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 33:48 | -15 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Paysandu PA is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )