Athletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense
Result
1:1
08/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 7
  • Referee: Miranda L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.41
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
85% (431/507)71% (170/239)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.610.17
Total shots
238
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
85% (431/507)71% (170/239)
Long passes
47% (22/47)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
67% (104/155)56% (24/43)
Crosses
39% (11/28)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.15
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
1010
Tackles
58% (7/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4543
Clearances
1838
Interceptions
819
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.172.61
Goals prevented
-0.641.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 1', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Renan Peixoto , Alan Kardec ,
  • 54', Luiz Fernando , Velasco K. ,
  • 54', Patrick , Giuliano ,
  • 63', Giovanni Augusto , Jorge Jimenez ,
  • 63', Marcinho , Italo ,
  • 67', Alan Kardec (Pen),
  • 70', Esquivel L. , Leo Derik ,
  • 76', Zapelli B. , Joao Cruz ,
  • 84', Rafael Carvalheira , Marcinho ,
  • 84', Mailton , Everton ,
  • 85', Marcinho 🟨,
  • 85', Velasco K. 🟨,
  • 87', Mario Sergio , Dentinho ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Clar W. ,
  • 90+9', 1 - 1, Giuliano (Pen),
  • 90+9', Everton 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
61.1%
Draw
24.8%
Chapecoense
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 22.5% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 21.7% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.46)
    3.76
    (4.17)
    6.68
    (7.01)
    6.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 0.
    • Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chapecoense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki (Inactive) Esquivel L. (Inactive) Habraao (Red Card) Isaac (Red Card) Leozinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Felipe Vieira (Injury) Romulo (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Pedro Martins (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    04.05.2025 Chapecoense - Criciúma 2:1
    25.04.2025 Vila Nova - Chapecoense 1:0
    16.04.2025 Paysandu - Chapecoense 0:2
    12.04.2025 Chapecoense - Coritiba 1:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2389630:23733
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17Amazonas24591025:34-924
    18Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    19America MG23641323:32-922
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

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