Result
1:1
08/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 7
- Referee: Miranda L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/507) | 71% (170/239) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/507) | 71% (170/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (104/155) | 56% (24/43) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Felipinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Renan Peixoto ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
- 54', Luiz Fernando ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
- 54', Patrick ↓, Giuliano ↑,
- 63', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 63', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 67', Alan Kardec (Pen),
- 70', Esquivel L. ↓, Leo Derik ↑,
- 76', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 84', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 84', Mailton ↓, Everton ↑,
- 85', Marcinho 🟨,
- 85', Velasco K. 🟨,
- 87', Mario Sergio ↓, Dentinho ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Clar W. ⚽,
- 90+9', 1 - 1, Giuliano (Pen),
- 90+9', Everton 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
61.1% | Draw
24.8% | Chapecoense
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.46) |
3.76 ↓
(4.17) |
6.68 ↓
(7.01) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 0.
- Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chapecoense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki
(Inactive)
Esquivel L.
(Inactive)
Habraao
(Red Card)
Isaac
(Red Card)
Leozinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Felipe Vieira
(Injury)
Romulo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Pedro Martins
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Chapecoense?
Athletico Paranaense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Athletico Paranaense?
Chapecoense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense were as follows:
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 39 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
| 14 | CRB | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | America MG | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14:30 | -16 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
