Criciúma vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma).

Serie B Superbet - Round 21
Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.20	1.55
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
9	3
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
75% (255/342)	73% (246/337)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
3.84	1.84
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
13	4
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
29	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
14	17
Passes
75% (255/342)	73% (246/337)
Long passes
57% (41/72)	22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
56% (62/111)	50% (44/88)
Crosses
53% (10/19)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	0.33
Throw-ins
18	21
Fouls
18	15
Tackles
65% (11/17)	79% (19/24)
Duels won
60	65
Clearances
25	33
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.84	3.84
Goals prevented
-0.16	-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Mendoza S. (Pen),
32', 0 - 2, Kaua Moraes ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
37', Benevenuto 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Rodrigo ⚽,
45+4', Mendoza S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
46', Benevenuto ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
55', 2 - 2, Nicolas (Pen),
57', Marcinho 🟨,
58', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
63', Kaua Moraes ↓, Belezi ↑,
66', 3 - 2, Matheus Trindade ⚽,
69', Benavidez G. 🟨,
71', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
72', Felipinho ↓, Leozinho ↑,
74', Leo ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
81', Jhonata Robert ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
82', Nicolas ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
82', 4 - 2, Rodrigo ⚽, Diego Goncalves (A),
83', Rodrigo 🟨,
86', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
90+3', Diego Goncalves ↓, Sassa ↑,

Chances of winning

Criciúma
36.2%

Draw
31.7%

Athletico Paranaense
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.7%

38.2%

Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)	2.95 ↓ (3.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.45)	6.6% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.
Criciúma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Athletico PR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Criciúma: Joao Carlos (Injury) Jonathan (Inactive) Juninho (Inactive) Leo Naldi (Red Card) Thales (Inactive) Yan Souto (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F. (Foot Injury) Luiz Fernando (Muscle Injury) Raul (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros (Inactive) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Muscle Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Athletico Paranaense?

Criciúma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Criciúma?

Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:

10.04.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma 2:1

22.09.2024 Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense 0:0

13.06.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma 3:1

Latest results of Criciúma

01.08.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma 1:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Criciúma - Cuiabá 1:0 ✺

24.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 0:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma 0:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Criciúma - Ferroviária 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

06.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo 2:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu 1:1 ✺

31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	37	18	11	8	37:22	15	65
2	Chapecoense-SC	37	17	8	12	51:35	16	59
3	Athletico-PR	36	17	8	11	50:42	8	59
4	Remo	37	15	14	8	48:38	10	59
5	Criciuma	36	16	10	10	45:32	13	58
6	Goias	36	16	10	10	40:34	6	58
7	Novorizontino	36	14	15	7	40:31	9	57
8	CRB	37	16	8	13	45:37	8	56
9	Avai	37	14	13	10	50:40	10	55
10	Atletico GO	37	13	13	11	39:37	2	52
11	Cuiaba	36	13	11	12	41:43	-2	50
12	Vila Nova FC	37	11	13	13	38:42	-4	46
13	America MG	36	12	9	15	40:42	-2	45
14	Operario-PR	37	11	12	14	38:43	-5	45
15	Athletic Club	37	11	8	18	41:52	-11	41
16	Botafogo SP	36	10	11	15	32:50	-18	41
17	Ferroviaria	36	8	16	12	41:48	-7	40
18	Amazonas	37	8	12	17	37:53	-16	36
19	Volta Redonda ✔	37	8	11	18	24:41	-17	35
20	Paysandu PA ✔	37	5	13	19	35:50	-15	28

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Volta Redonda is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
Paysandu PA is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )