Result
4:2
11/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 21
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/342) | 73% (246/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.84 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/342) | 73% (246/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (41/72) | 22% (13/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (62/111) | 50% (44/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 79% (19/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 3.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, Mendoza S. (Pen),
- 32', 0 - 2, Kaua Moraes ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
- 37', Benevenuto 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Rodrigo ⚽,
- 45+4', Mendoza S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
- 46', Benevenuto ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
- 55', 2 - 2, Nicolas (Pen),
- 57', Marcinho 🟨,
- 58', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
- 63', Kaua Moraes ↓, Belezi ↑,
- 66', 3 - 2, Matheus Trindade ⚽,
- 69', Benavidez G. 🟨,
- 71', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
- 72', Felipinho ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 74', Leo ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
- 81', Jhonata Robert ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 82', Nicolas ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 2, Rodrigo ⚽, Diego Goncalves (A),
- 83', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 86', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
- 90+3', Diego Goncalves ↓, Sassa ↑,
Chances of winning
Criciúma
36.2% | Draw
31.7% | Athletico Paranaense
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.7) |
2.95 ↓
(3.25) |
2.94 ↑
(2.45) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.
- Criciúma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Athletico PR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Criciúma: Joao Carlos
(Injury)
Jonathan
(Inactive)
Juninho
(Inactive)
Leo Naldi
(Red Card)
Thales
(Inactive)
Yan Souto
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F.
(Foot Injury)
Luiz Fernando
(Muscle Injury)
Raul
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros
(Inactive)
Heitor Roca
(Knee Injury)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Madson
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Athletico Paranaense?
Criciúma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Criciúma?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
10.04.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Criciúma
2:1
22.09.2024
Criciúma
-
Athletico Paranaense
0:0
13.06.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Criciúma
3:1
Latest results of Criciúma
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 13 | 53 |
| 2 | Goias | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 50 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 42:30 | 12 | 47 |
| 6 | Novorizontino | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | CRB | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Remo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Avai | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
