Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/398) | 76% (293/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/398) | 76% (293/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (16/56) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (40/72) | 58% (59/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Alan Kardec ⚽, Palacios H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 67', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan ↑,
- 67', Felipinho ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 68', Talisson ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
- 68', Matheus Trindade ↓, Hudson ↑,
- 68', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 75', Leo 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 1, Marcelo Hermes ⚽,
- 78', Velasco K. ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 78', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
- 82', Patrick 🟨,
- 82', Luciano Castan 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Palacios H. ⚽,
- 89', Everton Morelli ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
- 89', Werik Popo ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
- 90+2', Fernando ↓, Falcao ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
53.3% | Draw
28% | Criciúma
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.53) |
3.33 ↓
(3.75) |
4.99 ↓
(5.75) |
7.1%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 4.
- Athletico PR is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Criciúma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L.
(Injury)
Figueiredo T.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Criciúma: Guilherme Lobo
(Injury)
Jonathan
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Zapelli B.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1.1:0.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Criciúma?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Athletico Paranaense?
Criciúma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma were as follows:
22.09.2024
Criciúma
-
Athletico Paranaense
0:0
13.06.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Criciúma
3:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
| 11 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
