Criciúma vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma).

Serie B Superbet - Round 21
Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.20	1.55
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
9	3
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
75% (255/342)	73% (246/337)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
3.84	1.84
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
13	4
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
29	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
14	17
Passes
75% (255/342)	73% (246/337)
Long passes
57% (41/72)	22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
56% (62/111)	50% (44/88)
Crosses
53% (10/19)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	0.33
Throw-ins
18	21
Fouls
18	15
Tackles
65% (11/17)	79% (19/24)
Duels won
60	65
Clearances
25	33
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.84	3.84
Goals prevented
-0.16	-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Mendoza S. (Pen),
32', 0 - 2, Kaua Moraes ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
37', Benevenuto 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Rodrigo ⚽,
45+4', Mendoza S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
46', Benevenuto ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
55', 2 - 2, Nicolas (Pen),
57', Marcinho 🟨,
58', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
63', Kaua Moraes ↓, Belezi ↑,
66', 3 - 2, Matheus Trindade ⚽,
69', Benavidez G. 🟨,
71', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
72', Felipinho ↓, Leozinho ↑,
74', Leo ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
81', Jhonata Robert ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
82', Nicolas ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
82', 4 - 2, Rodrigo ⚽, Diego Goncalves (A),
83', Rodrigo 🟨,
86', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
90+3', Diego Goncalves ↓, Sassa ↑,

Chances of winning

Criciúma
36.2%

Draw
31.7%

Athletico Paranaense
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.7%

38.2%

Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)	2.95 ↓ (3.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.45)	6.6% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.
Criciúma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Athletico PR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Criciúma: Joao Carlos (Injury) Jonathan (Inactive) Juninho (Inactive) Leo Naldi (Red Card) Thales (Inactive) Yan Souto (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F. (Foot Injury) Luiz Fernando (Muscle Injury) Raul (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros (Inactive) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Muscle Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Athletico Paranaense?

Criciúma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Criciúma?

Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:

10.04.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma 2:1

22.09.2024 Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense 0:0

13.06.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma 3:1

Latest results of Criciúma

01.08.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma 1:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Criciúma - Cuiabá 1:0 ✺

24.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 0:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma 0:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Criciúma - Ferroviária 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

06.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo 2:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu 1:1 ✺

31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	38	19	11	8	39:23	16	68
2	Athletico-PR	38	19	8	11	53:43	10	65
3	Chapecoense-SC	38	18	8	12	52:35	17	62
4	Remo	38	16	14	8	51:39	12	62
5	Criciuma	38	17	10	11	47:33	14	61
6	Goias	38	17	10	11	42:37	5	61
7	Novorizontino	38	15	15	8	43:32	11	60
8	CRB	38	16	8	14	45:40	5	56
9	Avai	38	14	14	10	50:40	10	56
10	Cuiaba	38	14	12	12	43:44	-1	54
11	Atletico GO	38	13	13	12	39:38	1	52
12	Operario-PR	38	12	12	14	40:44	-4	48
13	Vila Nova FC	38	11	14	13	40:44	-4	47
14	America MG	38	12	10	16	41:44	-3	46
15	Athletic Club	38	12	8	18	43:53	-10	44
16	Botafogo SP	38	10	12	16	32:52	-20	42
17	Ferroviaria	38	8	16	14	43:52	-9	40
18	Amazonas	38	8	12	18	38:55	-17	36
19	Volta Redonda	38	8	12	18	26:43	-17	36
20	Paysandu PA	38	5	13	20	36:52	-16	28

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )