Athletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro
Result
3:0
26/10/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 31
  • Referee: Pereira de Lima R. J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Furacão Play, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileMEGOGO
peruPeruL1 Max
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.12
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
192
Shots on Goal
60
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
50
Free Kicks
1414
Corner Kicks
71
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
1619
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Fouls
1414
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
03
Total Passes
524392
Completed Passes
463319
Crosses Completed
80
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Rafa Silva 🟥,
  • 21', Madson , Cuello ,
  • 21', Peralta F. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Pablo , Julimar (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Peralta F. , William Furtado ,
  • 46', Wesley Gasolina , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 46', 2 - 0, Julimar , Pablo (A),
  • 50', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
  • 61', Mateus Vital , Matheus Henrique ,
  • 61', Romero L. , Matheus Pereira ,
  • 65', Joao Cruz , Fernandinho ,
  • 66', Pablo , Emersonn ,
  • 77', Kaiki , Marlon ,
  • 79', Julimar , Gonzalo Mastriani ,
  • 79', Felipinho , Zapelli B. ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Nikao , Cuello (A),
  • 90+1', William Furtado 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
45.7%
Draw
28.8%
Cruzeiro
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 29.3% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 30.2% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.19)
    3.3
    (3.22)
    3.69
    (3.43)
    5.5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 1.
    • Athletico PR has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Athletico PR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Athletico PR have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Cruzeiro have a series of home games.
    • Athletico PR will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Fernandinho (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Dinenno J. (Injury) Japa (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:28 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    26.06.2024 Cruzeiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:0
    30.11.2023 Cruzeiro - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    29.07.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro 3:3
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    23.10.2024 Cruzeiro - Lanús 1:1
    18.10.2024 Cruzeiro - Bahia 1:1
    03.10.2024 Fluminense - Cruzeiro 1:0
    29.09.2024 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet