Result
2:1
18/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (322/391) | 85% (350/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (322/391) | 85% (350/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (71/102) | 72% (71/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 0% (0/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Mendoza S. ⚽,
- 10', 2 - 0, Viveros K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
- 44', Arroyo K. 🟨,
- 45+2', Julimar 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Japa ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 56', Arthur Dias 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 1, Arroyo K. ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 62', Julimar ↓, Chiqueti ↑,
- 62', Portilla J. ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 76', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 78', Villarreal N. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 78', Christian ↓, Rhuan Gabriel ↑,
- 78', Mendoza S. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 85', Lucas Silva 🟨,
- 88', William Furtado ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
- 88', Lucas Silva ↓, Lelis R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
42.4% | Draw
28.8% | Cruzeiro
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.74) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
3.28 ↑
(2.64) |
5.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Athletico PR (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
- Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cruzeiro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of home games.
- Athletico PR will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Zapelli B.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Bruno Rodrigues
(Inactive)
Cassio
(Injury)
Kaio Jorge
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Pereira
(Yellow Cards)
Romero L.
(Inactive)
Sinisterra L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Luiz Gustavo
(Injury)
Teran C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Cruzeiro?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Athletico Paranaense?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro were as follows:
26.10.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Cruzeiro
3:0
26.06.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:0
30.11.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
29.07.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Cruzeiro
3:3
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
