Result
2:1
15/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (308/364) | 82% (323/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (308/364) | 82% (323/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (18/36) | 48% (31/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (85/117) | 64% (75/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.94 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 58 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Leo ⚽, Fernando (A),
- 45+1', Mycael 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 50', Nathan 🟨,
- 55', Lucas Cardoso ↓, Edu ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Lucas Mineiro ⚽, Sander (A),
- 62', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
- 64', Luiz Fernando ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 64', Fernando ↓, Esquivel L. ↑,
- 64', Nathan ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
- 70', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan ↑,
- 71', Renan 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 1, Pedrinho ⚽,
- 78', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Calebe Costa ↑,
- 78', Derik Lacerda ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 78', Matheusinho ↓, Leonardo Ataide ↑,
- 78', Velasco K. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
- 90+7', Denilson 🟨,
- 90+8', Max 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
33.5% | Draw
31.2% | Athletico Paranaense
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-3%)
Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.44) |
3 ↓
(3.13) |
2.67 ↓
(2.89) |
6.8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 1.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Athletico Paranaense?
Cuiabá has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Cuiabá?
Athletico Paranaense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
28.07.2024
Cuiabá
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:2
14.04.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Cuiabá
4:0
06.12.2023
Cuiabá
-
Athletico Paranaense
3:0
15.08.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Cuiabá
2:0
18.09.2022
Athletico Paranaense
-
Cuiabá
2:2
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
