Athletico Paranaense vs Cuiabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 22
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.36
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
87% (480/553)70% (146/208)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.310.47
Total shots
169
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
169
Passes
87% (480/553)70% (146/208)
Long passes
57% (24/42)41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
80% (150/188)47% (25/53)
Crosses
16% (7/45)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.26
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
917
Tackles
83% (10/12)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
354
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.471.31
Goals prevented
-0.530.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Diogo Riquelme , Leozinho ,
  • 53', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
  • 64', Mendoza S. (Pen),
  • 65', Martinez A. , Max Alves ,
  • 69', Carlos Alberto , Juan Christian ,
  • 72', Mendoza S. , Renan Peixoto ,
  • 79', Luiz Fernando , Dudu Kogitzki ,
  • 79', Patrick , Isaac ,
  • 83', Lucas Mineiro , Guilherme Mariano ,
  • 83', Alisson Safira , Pasadore F. ,
  • 83', Denilson Alves , De Lucca ,
  • 89', Zapelli B. , Alan Kardec ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Matheusinho , Guilherme Mariano (A),

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
54.9%
Draw
27.5%
Cuiabá
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 28.8% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.75)
    3.37
    (3.5)
    5.24
    (5)
    7.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F. (Foot Injury) Julimar (Knee Injury) Raul (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Injury) Asad Y. (Injury) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Pedrinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá were as follows:
    15.04.2025 Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense 2:1
    28.07.2024 Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense 1:2
    14.04.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá 4:0
    06.12.2023 Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense 3:0
    15.08.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá 2:0
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    10.08.2025 Avaí - Cuiabá 2:0
    04.08.2025 Cuiabá - Volta Redonda 2:0
    29.07.2025 Criciúma - Cuiabá 1:0
    23.07.2025 Cuiabá - América Mineiro 3:1
    19.07.2025 Goiás - Cuiabá 3:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Criciuma28147736:211549
    2Goias28147734:26849
    3Coritiba28138728:19947
    4Novorizontino281210631:25646
    5Athletico-PR28136942:36645
    6Cuiaba28119834:32242
    7Chapecoense-SC281251138:29941
    8Atletico GO281011731:28341
    9CRB281241231:26540
    10Avai281010836:30640
    11Operario-PR28109931:27439
    12Remo28912729:26339
    13Vila Nova FC281071128:30-237
    14Ferroviaria28712931:35-433
    15Athletic Club28951429:38-932
    16America MG28861427:34-730
    17Volta Redonda28791218:29-1130
    18Botafogo SP28781324:42-1829
    19Amazonas28691328:41-1327
    20Paysandu PA284101421:33-1222

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