Athletico Paranaense vs Cuiabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ligga Arena (Curitiba).

Serie B Superbet - Round 22
Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.36
Ball Possession
73%	27%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
87% (480/553)	70% (146/208)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.31	0.47
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
25	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
16	9
Passes
87% (480/553)	70% (146/208)
Long passes
57% (24/42)	41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
80% (150/188)	47% (25/53)
Crosses
16% (7/45)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.26
Throw-ins
22	15
Fouls
9	17
Tackles
83% (10/12)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
47	47
Clearances
3	54
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.47	1.31
Goals prevented
-0.53	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diogo Riquelme ↓, Leozinho ↑,
53', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
64', Mendoza S. (Pen),
65', Martinez A. ↓, Max Alves ↑,
69', Carlos Alberto ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
72', Mendoza S. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
79', Luiz Fernando ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
79', Patrick ↓, Isaac ↑,
83', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
83', Alisson Safira ↓, Pasadore F. ↑,
83', Denilson Alves ↓, De Lucca ↑,
89', Zapelli B. ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Matheusinho ⚽, Guilherme Mariano (A),

Chances of winning

Athletico Paranaense
54.9%

Draw
27.5%

Cuiabá
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

28.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	5.24 ↑ (5)	7.5% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Athletico PR is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F. (Foot Injury) Julimar (Knee Injury) Raul (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Injury) Asad Y. (Injury) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Pedrinho (Inactive)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson (Muscle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Cuiabá?

Athletico Paranaense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Athletico Paranaense?

Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá were as follows:

15.04.2025 Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense 2:1

28.07.2024 Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense 1:2

14.04.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá 4:0

06.12.2023 Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense 3:0

15.08.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Cuiabá 2:0

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

11.08.2025 Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense 4:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo 2:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu 1:1 ✺

31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Cuiabá

10.08.2025 Avaí - Cuiabá 2:0 ✺

04.08.2025 Cuiabá - Volta Redonda 2:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Criciúma - Cuiabá 1:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Cuiabá - América Mineiro 3:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Goiás - Cuiabá 3:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
      Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )