Ferroviária vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Dr. Adhemar de Barros (Sao Paulo).

Serie B Superbet - Round 37
Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.02
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
10	21
Shots on target
1	8
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
1	9
Passes
80% (280/351)	84% (338/403)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.99	2.57
Total shots
10	21
Shots on target
1	8
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
4	8
Shots inside the Box
4	12
Shots outside the Box
6	9
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
1	9
Touches in opposition box
14	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
80% (280/351)	84% (338/403)
Long passes
38% (23/61)	51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
46% (31/68)	69% (90/131)
Crosses
33% (2/6)	32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.28	0.98
Throw-ins
14	28
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
88% (15/17)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
45	36
Clearances
31	14
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
2.57	0.99
Goals prevented
0.57	-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Netinho 🟨,
10', Benavidez G. 🟨,
30', Felipinho 🟨,
37', Viveros K. 🟨,
45+5', Leo Derik ↓, Leozinho ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Juninho ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
68', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Kevin ↑,
68', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Fabio ↑,
68', Erik Nascimento ↓, Vitor Mendes ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Fabio ⚽,
78', Felipinho ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
78', Mendoza S. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
85', Patrick ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Joao Cruz ⚽,
89', Netinho ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
89', Fabio 🟨,
90+3', Leozinho 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Chances of winning

Ferroviária
22%

Draw
27%

Athletico Paranaense
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

28%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

28%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2%)

Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.98)	3.45 ↑ (3.28)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)	7.1% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletico Paranaense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Athletico PR is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Athletico PR is the team to beat.
There will not play in Ferroviária: Gustavo Jundi (Injury) Gustavo Medina (Thigh Injury) Ronaldo (Inactive) Thayllon (Injury) Vitor Barreto (Red Card)
There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki (Inactive) Esquivel L. (Inactive) Isaac (Knee Injury) Renan Peixoto (Knee Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Athletico Paranaense?

Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Ferroviária?

Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:

22.07.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária 1:1

Latest results of Ferroviária

07.11.2025 Athletic Club - Ferroviária 2:1 ✺

31.10.2025 Ferroviária - Criciúma 0:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Vila Nova - Ferroviária 2:2 ✺

20.10.2025 Ferroviária - Paysandu 2:2 ✺

13.10.2025 CRB Maceio - Ferroviária 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

08.11.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Volta Redonda 2:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Goiás - Athletico Paranaense 0:1 ✺

27.10.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Amazonas 2:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 0:0 ✺

14.10.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Avaí 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
      Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )