Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 37
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (280/351) | 84% (338/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (280/351) | 84% (338/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 51% (21/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (31/68) | 69% (90/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Netinho 🟨,
- 10', Benavidez G. 🟨,
- 30', Felipinho 🟨,
- 37', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 45+5', Leo Derik ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Juninho ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 68', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 68', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Fabio ↑,
- 68', Erik Nascimento ↓, Vitor Mendes ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Fabio ⚽,
- 78', Felipinho ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 78', Mendoza S. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 85', Patrick ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Joao Cruz ⚽,
- 89', Netinho ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 89', Fabio 🟨,
- 90+3', Leozinho 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
22% | Draw
27% | Athletico Paranaense
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2%)
Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.17 ↑
(3.98) |
3.45 ↑
(3.28) |
1.85 ↓
(1.87) |
7.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletico Paranaense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Athletico PR is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Athletico PR is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Gustavo Jundi
(Injury)
Gustavo Medina
(Thigh Injury)
Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Injury)
Vitor Barreto
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki
(Inactive)
Esquivel L.
(Inactive)
Isaac
(Knee Injury)
Renan Peixoto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Athletico Paranaense?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Ferroviária?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
22.07.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Ferroviária
1:1
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
