Athletico Paranaense vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária
22/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
64.1%
Draw
23.5%
Ferroviária
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 21.7% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 20.5% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.38)
    4.03
    (4.25)
    7.74
    (8)
    6.7%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Athletico PR has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ferroviária is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    13.07.2025 Criciúma - Ferroviária 2:1
    06.07.2025 Ferroviária - Vila Nova 1:3
    30.06.2025 Paysandu - Ferroviária 2:1
    21.06.2025 Ferroviária - CRB Maceio 1:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias17113323:131036
    2Coritiba17103418:11733
    3Novorizontino1787222:121031
    4Chapecoense-SC1782721:16526
    5Remo1768319:15426
    6Cuiaba1774619:20-125
    7Avai1767420:18225
    8Vila Nova FC1773715:16-124
    9Athletico-PR1772821:23-223
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11CRB1764716:16022
    12Atletico GO1757518:17122
    13Athletic Club17701020:24-421
    14America MG1762917:21-420
    15Operario-PR1754818:20-219
    16Paysandu PA1746716:19-318
    17Ferroviaria1746717:21-418
    18Volta Redonda1746710:16-618
    19Botafogo SP1746712:20-818
    20Amazonas1745816:23-717

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )