Athletico Paranaense vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza
Result
1:1
14/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileMEGOGO
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainGol Stadium
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
ukraineUkraineSport 2
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.07
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
258
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
94
Blocked Shots
81
Free Kicks
912
Corner Kicks
144
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
227
Goalkeeper Saves
27
Fouls
106
Yellow Cards
22
Total Passes
518409
Completed Passes
432326
Attacks
141122
Dangerous Attacks
7130

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Moises , Mancuso E. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Canobbio A. , Cuello (A),
  • 39', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Gonzalo Mastriani , Pablo ,
  • 60', Moises , Breno Lopes ,
  • 61', Joao Cruz 🟨,
  • 68', Andrade K. , Pochettino T. ,
  • 68', Mancuso E. , Tinga ,
  • 72', Zapelli B. , Julimar ,
  • 73', Cuello , Praxedes ,
  • 78', Marinho , Lucero J. ,
  • 79', Renato Kayzer , Machuca I. ,
  • 85', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
  • 85', Joao Cruz , Di Yorio L. ,
  • 90', Canobbio A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
43.5%
Draw
28.1%
Fortaleza
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 28.9% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 29.8% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.22)
    3.35
    (3.27)
    3.35
    (3.32)
    5.7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 0.
    • Athletico PR is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Fortaleza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Athletico PR will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Fernandinho (Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Matheus Rossetto (Injury) Santos (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza were as follows:
    02.06.2024 Fortaleza - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    08.11.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza 1:1
    09.07.2023 Fortaleza - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    05.10.2022 Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    2Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1783620:20027
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    10Corinthians1857617:21-422
    11Ceara1663716:16021
    12Internacional1656517:20-321
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet