Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio
Result
0:2
04/08/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilFuracão Play
chileChileMEGOGO
peruPeruL1 Play
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
ukraineUkraineSport 2
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, Fanatiz, Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.152.88
Ball Possession
71%29%
Goal Attempts
178
Shots on Goal
46
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
61
Free Kicks
1414
Corner Kicks
90
Offsides
13
Throw-ins
2014
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
1010
Yellow Cards
20
Total Passes
678249
Completed Passes
591180
Attacks
18781
Dangerous Attacks
8619

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 17', Gamarra M. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Gustavo Martins ,
  • 21', 0 - 2, Monsalve M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Erick , Cuello ,
  • 46', Zapelli B. , Pablo ,
  • 46', Kaique Rocha , Madson ,
  • 59', Nikao , Fernandinho ,
  • 65', Monsalve M. , Aravena A. ,
  • 72', Christian , Canobbio A. ,
  • 75', Pepe , Ronald ,
  • 75', Nathan , Du Queiroz ,
  • 81', Mayk , Reinaldo ,
  • 82', Cuello 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
54.5%
Draw
26%
Grêmio
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 26.7% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.9% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.83)
    3.62
    (3.5)
    4.9
    (4.22)
    5.4%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio?
  • Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (42 of 47 users predict this - 89.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.54%98.18%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 3.
    • Athletico PR is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Grêmio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Vinicius Kaue (Injury)
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique (Injury) Costa D. (Injury) Jhonata Robert (Injury) Lucas Mila (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20-27.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-13.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio were as follows:
    17.04.2024 Grêmio - Athletico Paranaense 2:0
    18.10.2023 Grêmio - Athletico Paranaense 1:2
    27.05.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio 1:2
    Latest results of Grêmio
    31.07.2024 Corinthians - Grêmio 0:0
    28.07.2024 Grêmio - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    25.07.2024 Corinthians - Grêmio 2:2
    17.07.2024 São Paulo - Grêmio 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ17114231:72437
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1883721:22-127
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Sao Paulo1867520:20025
    9Fluminense1672718:20-223
    10Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    11Ceara1764717:17022
    12Corinthians1857617:21-422
    13Internacional1756618:22-421
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1839616:20-418
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet