Result
0:2
04/08/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Furacão Play |
Chile | MEGOGO |
Peru | L1 Play |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
World | Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.15 | 2.88 |
Ball Possession |
---|
71% | 29% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
7 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 14 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 14 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Total Passes |
---|
678 | 249 |
Completed Passes |
---|
591 | 180 |
Attacks |
---|
187 | 81 |
Dangerous Attacks |
---|
86 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', Gamarra M. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Gustavo Martins ⚽,
- 21', 0 - 2, Monsalve M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Erick ↓, Cuello ↑,
- 46', Zapelli B. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 46', Kaique Rocha ↓, Madson ↑,
- 59', Nikao ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 65', Monsalve M. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 72', Christian ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
- 75', Pepe ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 75', Nathan ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
- 81', Mayk ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
- 82', Cuello 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense 54.5% | Draw 26% | Grêmio 19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.83) |
3.62 ↑ (3.5) |
4.9 ↑ (4.22) |
5.4% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(42 of 47 users predict this - 89.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.54% – 98.18%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 3.
- Athletico PR is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Grêmio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Vinicius Kaue
(Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique
(Injury)
Costa D.
(Injury)
Jhonata Robert
(Injury)
Lucas Mila
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20-27.
- Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Grêmio?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Athletico Paranaense?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio were as follows:
17.04.2024
Grêmio
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:0
18.10.2023
Grêmio
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:2
27.05.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Grêmio
1:2
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 24 | 37 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
10 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet