Result
0:2
04/08/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Furacão Play |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
 Peru | L1 Play |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 678 | 249 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 591 | 180 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 187 | 81 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 86 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', Gamarra M. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Gustavo Martins ⚽,
- 21', 0 - 2, Monsalve M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Erick ↓, Cuello ↑,
- 46', Zapelli B. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 46', Kaique Rocha ↓, Madson ↑,
- 59', Nikao ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 65', Monsalve M. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 72', Christian ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
- 75', Pepe ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 75', Nathan ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
- 81', Mayk ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
- 82', Cuello 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
54.5% | Draw
26% | Grêmio
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.83) |
3.62 ↑
(3.5) |
4.9 ↑
(4.22) |
5.4%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(42 of 47 users predict this - 89.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.54% – 98.18%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 3.
- Athletico PR is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Grêmio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Vinicius Kaue
(Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique
(Injury)
Costa D.
(Injury)
Jhonata Robert
(Injury)
Lucas Mila
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20-27.
- Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Grêmio?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Athletico Paranaense?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio were as follows:
17.04.2024
Grêmio
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:0
18.10.2023
Grêmio
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:2
27.05.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Grêmio
1:2
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
