Result
2:0 penalties
06/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/468) | 62% (130/209) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/468) | 62% (130/209) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (35/53) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (135/169) | 38% (25/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Bobadilla D. 🟨,
- 4', Rafael 🟥,
- 7', Rodriguinho ↓, Jandrei ↑,
- 24', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 45+7', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leo Derik ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 46', Robert Arboleda ↓, Sabino ↑,
- 46', Bobadilla D. ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 59', Leo 🟨,
- 63', Ferreira ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 65', Zapelli B. 🟨,
- 66', Kaua Moraes ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
- 80', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
- 84', Luciano ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
- 90+1', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
- 90+2', Jandrei 🟨,
- Penalties (3 - 0)
- 1, Giuliano (Pen),
- 1, Sabino (Pen),
- 2, Esquivel L. (Pen),
- 2, Tapia G. (Pen),
- 3, Mendoza S. (Pen),
- 3, Jandrei (Pen),
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
37.8% | Draw
34.4% | São Paulo
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(2.66) |
2.9 ↓
(2.95) |
3.64 ↑
(2.9) |
0.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 0.
- Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- São Paulo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F.
(Foot Injury)
Esquivel L.
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Fernando
(Muscle Injury)
Raul
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Oscar
(Back Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Madson
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against São Paulo?
Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Athletico Paranaense?
São Paulo has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo were as follows:
31.07.2025
São Paulo
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:1
09.11.2024
São Paulo
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:1
03.07.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
São Paulo
1:2
29.10.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
São Paulo
1:1
21.06.2023
São Paulo
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of São Paulo
Draw
20251/64-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | CRB | |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 7 | Inter de Limeira | Vila Nova FC | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Rio Branco-VN | Amazonas | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | Juventude | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Uniao Carmolandense | America RN | 4 : 2 |
| 11 | Tocantinopolis | Atletico-MG | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Independencia | Manaus | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Concordia | Ponte Preta | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | Botafogo PB | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 17 | Operario VG | Sport Recife | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Rio Branco ES | Novorizontino | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 21 | Sergipe | Ceara | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Parnahyba | Confianca | 0 : 5 |
| 24 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 25 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 27 | Maranhao | Vitoria | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Santa Cruz de Natal | Nautico | 0 : 4 |
| 29 | Trem | Brusque | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Olaria | ABC | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Pouso Alegre | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Guarany de Bage | AE Altos | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Tuna Luso | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0 |
| 34 | Boavista | CSA | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Sao Raimundo RR | Gremio | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Barcelona | Athletic Club | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Humaita | Operario-PR | 0 : 1 |
| 38 | CSE | Tombense | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Uniao Rondonopolis | Vasco | 0 : 3 |
| 40 | Barcelona RO | Nova Iguacu | 1 : 4 |
| 41 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 43 | Porto Velho | Cuiaba | 1 : 0 |
| 44 | Capital | Portuguesa RJ | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Operario MS | Criciuma | 0 : 1 |
| 46 | GAS | Remo | 0 : 4 |
| 47 | Sousa | Bragantino | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Oratorio | EC Sao Jose | 1 : 3 |
| 49 | Aguia De Maraba | Fluminense | 0 : 8 |
| 50 | Dourados | SER Caxias | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Cascavel | America MG | 1 : 0 |
| 52 | Votuporanguense | Aparecidense | 2 : 3 |
| 53 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 55 | Ceilandia | Coritiba | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Maracana | Ferroviario | 2 : 1 |
| 57 | ASA | Atletico GO | 1 : 2 |
| 58 | Jequie | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 61 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | CRB | |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | Rio Branco-VN | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Maringa FC | Uniao Carmolandense | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Manaus | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Concordia | Botafogo PB | 0 : 4 |
| 8 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 9 | Operario VG | Novorizontino | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 11 | Ceara | Confianca | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 14 | Vitoria | Nautico | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Brusque | Olaria | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Athletico-PR | Guarany de Bage | 3 : 1 |
| 17 | Tuna Luso | CSA | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Gremio | Athletic Club | 4 : 3 |
| 19 | Operario-PR | Tombense | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Vasco | Nova Iguacu | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 22 | Porto Velho | Capital | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | Criciuma | Remo | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bragantino | EC Sao Jose | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Fluminense | SER Caxias | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Cascavel | Aparecidense | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 28 | Ceilandia | Maracana | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Atletico GO | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 31 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Santos | CRB | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | Vila Nova FC | 3 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Maringa FC | Atletico-MG | 0 : 4, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Botafogo PB | Flamengo RJ | 2 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | Corinthians | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Ceara | Palmeiras | 0 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | Nautico | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Brusque | Athletico-PR | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | CSA | Gremio | 0 : 0, 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | Vasco | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | Capital | 0 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Criciuma | Bragantino | 0 : 6, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Fluminense | Aparecidense | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Internacional | Maracana | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Retro | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | Bahia | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | CRB | Cruzeiro | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Palmeiras | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | CSA | Vasco | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | Bragantino | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fluminense | Internacional | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Retro | Bahia | 0 : 0, 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cruzeiro | Atletico-MG | |
| 2 | Corinthians | Athletico-PR | |
| 3 | Vasco | Botafogo RJ | |
| 4 | Fluminense | Bahia | |
Semi-finalsFinal
