Athletico Paranaense vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ligga Arena (Curitiba).

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	0.20
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
17	3
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
84% (394/468)	62% (130/209)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	0.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	0.44
Total shots
17	3
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
7	0
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
5	2
Shots outside the Box
12	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
20	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
17	21
Passes
84% (394/468)	62% (130/209)
Long passes
66% (35/53)	36% (20/56)
Passes in final third
80% (135/169)	38% (25/66)
Crosses
23% (7/31)	25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.23
Throw-ins
28	23
Fouls
21	17
Tackles
71% (10/14)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
41	59
Clearances
11	32
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.44	0.90
Goals prevented
0.44	-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Bobadilla D. 🟨,
4', Rafael 🟥,
7', Rodriguinho ↓, Jandrei ↑,
24', Viveros K. 🟨,
45+7', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Leo Derik ↓, Leozinho ↑,
46', Robert Arboleda ↓, Sabino ↑,
46', Bobadilla D. ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
59', Leo 🟨,
63', Ferreira ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
65', Zapelli B. 🟨,
66', Kaua Moraes ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
80', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
84', Luciano ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
90+1', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
90+2', Jandrei 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 0)
1, Giuliano (Pen),
1, Sabino (Pen),
2, Esquivel L. (Pen),
2, Tapia G. (Pen),
3, Mendoza S. (Pen),
3, Jandrei (Pen),

Chances of winning

Athletico Paranaense
37.8%

Draw
34.4%

São Paulo
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

32%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

33.3%

31.2%

Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.66)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)	3.64 ↑ (2.9)	0.3% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 0.
Athletico PR has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
São Paulo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Athletico PR: Aguirre Tabares J. F. (Foot Injury) Esquivel L. (Knee Injury) Luiz Fernando (Muscle Injury) Raul (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion) Oscar (Back Injury) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury) Wendell (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against São Paulo?

Athletico Paranaense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Athletico Paranaense?

São Paulo has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo were as follows:

31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1

09.11.2024 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1

03.07.2024 Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo 1:2

29.10.2023 Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo 1:1

21.06.2023 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

03.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Paysandu 1:1 ✺

31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária 1:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense 3:2 ✺

Latest results of São Paulo

03.08.2025 Internacional RS - São Paulo 1:2 ✺

31.07.2025 São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 São Paulo - Fluminense 3:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Juventude - São Paulo 0:1 ✺

19.07.2025 São Paulo - Corinthians 2:0 ✺

Draw

2025

1/64-finals

1	Santos	Bye
4	Bye	CRB
5	Cruzeiro	Bye
7	Inter de Limeira	Vila Nova FC	0 : 1
8	Rio Branco-VN	Amazonas	1 : 0
9	Maringa FC	Juventude	1 : 0
10	Uniao Carmolandense	America RN	4 : 2
11	Tocantinopolis	Atletico-MG	0 : 2
12	Independencia	Manaus	1 : 2
13	Concordia	Ponte Preta	2 : 1
14	Portuguesa	Botafogo PB	1 : 2
16	Bye	Flamengo RJ
17	Operario VG	Sport Recife	1 : 0
18	Rio Branco ES	Novorizontino	1 : 3
20	Bye	Corinthians
21	Sergipe	Ceara	0 : 2
22	Parnahyba	Confianca	0 : 5
24	Bye	Palmeiras
25	Sao Paulo	Bye
27	Maranhao	Vitoria	0 : 1
28	Santa Cruz de Natal	Nautico	0 : 4
29	Trem	Brusque	0 : 2
30	Olaria	ABC	1 : 0
31	Pouso Alegre	Athletico-PR	0 : 2
32	Guarany de Bage	AE Altos	2 : 1
33	Tuna Luso	Sampaio Correa	1 : 0
34	Boavista	CSA	0 : 2
35	Sao Raimundo RR	Gremio	1 : 2
36	Barcelona	Athletic Club	1 : 2
37	Humaita	Operario-PR	0 : 1
38	CSE	Tombense	1 : 3
39	Uniao Rondonopolis	Vasco	0 : 3
40	Barcelona RO	Nova Iguacu	1 : 4
41	Botafogo RJ	Bye
43	Porto Velho	Cuiaba	1 : 0
44	Capital	Portuguesa RJ	1 : 0
45	Operario MS	Criciuma	0 : 1
46	GAS	Remo	0 : 4
47	Sousa	Bragantino	1 : 2
48	Oratorio	EC Sao Jose	1 : 3
49	Aguia De Maraba	Fluminense	0 : 8
50	Dourados	SER Caxias	0 : 2
51	Cascavel	America MG	1 : 0
52	Votuporanguense	Aparecidense	2 : 3
53	Internacional	Bye
55	Ceilandia	Coritiba	3 : 2
56	Maracana	Ferroviario	2 : 1
57	ASA	Atletico GO	1 : 2
58	Jequie	Retro	1 : 2
60	Bye	Fortaleza
61	Paysandu PA	Bye
64	Bye	Bahia

1/32-finals

1	Santos	Bye
2	Bye	CRB
3	Cruzeiro	Bye
4	Vila Nova FC	Rio Branco-VN	6 : 0
5	Maringa FC	Uniao Carmolandense	4 : 2
6	Atletico-MG	Manaus	4 : 1
7	Concordia	Botafogo PB	0 : 4
8	Bye	Flamengo RJ
9	Operario VG	Novorizontino	0 : 1
10	Bye	Corinthians
11	Ceara	Confianca	3 : 2
12	Bye	Palmeiras
13	Sao Paulo	Bye
14	Vitoria	Nautico	0 : 2
15	Brusque	Olaria	2 : 1
16	Athletico-PR	Guarany de Bage	3 : 1
17	Tuna Luso	CSA	0 : 5
18	Gremio	Athletic Club	4 : 3
19	Operario-PR	Tombense	1 : 0
20	Vasco	Nova Iguacu	3 : 0
21	Botafogo RJ	Bye
22	Porto Velho	Capital	1 : 3
23	Criciuma	Remo	2 : 1
24	Bragantino	EC Sao Jose	2 : 1
25	Fluminense	SER Caxias	2 : 1
26	Cascavel	Aparecidense	0 : 1
27	Internacional	Bye
28	Ceilandia	Maracana	0 : 1
29	Atletico GO	Retro	1 : 2
30	Bye	Fortaleza
31	Paysandu PA	Bye
32	Bye	Bahia

1/16-finals

1	Santos	CRB	0 : 1, 1 : 1
2	Cruzeiro	Vila Nova FC	3 : 0, 2 : 0
3	Maringa FC	Atletico-MG	0 : 4, 2 : 2
4	Botafogo PB	Flamengo RJ	2 : 4, 0 : 1
5	Novorizontino	Corinthians	0 : 1, 0 : 1
6	Ceara	Palmeiras	0 : 3, 0 : 1
7	Sao Paulo	Nautico	2 : 1, 2 : 1
8	Brusque	Athletico-PR	0 : 1, 0 : 0
9	CSA	Gremio	0 : 0, 3 : 2
10	Operario-PR	Vasco	1 : 2, 1 : 1
11	Botafogo RJ	Capital	0 : 1, 4 : 0
12	Criciuma	Bragantino	0 : 6, 1 : 0
13	Fluminense	Aparecidense	4 : 1, 1 : 0
14	Internacional	Maracana	3 : 0, 1 : 0
15	Retro	Fortaleza	2 : 1, 1 : 1
16	Paysandu PA	Bahia	0 : 4, 0 : 1

1/8-finals

1	CRB	Cruzeiro	0 : 2, 0 : 0
2	Atletico-MG	Flamengo RJ	1 : 1, 1 : 0
3	Corinthians	Palmeiras	2 : 0, 1 : 0
4	Sao Paulo	Athletico-PR	0 : 2, 2 : 1
5	CSA	Vasco	1 : 3, 0 : 0
6	Botafogo RJ	Bragantino	1 : 0, 2 : 0
7	Fluminense	Internacional	1 : 1, 2 : 1
8	Retro	Bahia	0 : 0, 2 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Cruzeiro	Atletico-MG	2 : 0, 2 : 0
2	Corinthians	Athletico-PR	2 : 0, 1 : 0
3	Vasco	Botafogo RJ	2 : 1, 1 : 1
4	Fluminense	Bahia	2 : 0, 0 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Cruzeiro	Corinthians
2	Vasco	Fluminense

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2