Atlanta Buenos Aires vs Tristán Suárez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
03/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
74
Corner kicks
13
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
89
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
15
Corner kicks
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', Alvarez M. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Fedele L. , Castro Ponce T. (A),
  • 30', Castro Ponce T. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Puch J. , Quintana A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Colli K. , Beron J. ,
  • 46', Becker D. , Veliez A. ,
  • 46', 2 - 1, Veliez A. , Fernandez N. (A),
  • 54', Aguilar B. 🟨,
  • 62', Bernardi C. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 62', Fedele L. , Rivero B. ,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Rivero B. , Garcia M. (A),
  • 73', Puch J. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 78', Fernandez N. , Henry N. ,
  • 78', Guillen M. , Berrondo A. ,
  • 78', Luayza M. , Trasante J. ,
  • 86', Henry N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlanta Buenos Aires
42.6%
Draw
35.8%
Tristán Suárez
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 33.2% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 33.1% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.09)
    2.65
    (2.81)
    4.27
    (4.22)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Tristán Suárez (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tristán Suárez (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Atlanta is the team to beat.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez 1:0
    18.05.2025 Tristán Suárez - Atlanta Buenos Aires 0:0
    26.08.2023 Tristán Suárez - Atlanta Buenos Aires 1:0
    17.04.2023 Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez 3:2
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1062216:9720
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Ciudad Bolivar103707:3416
    5Deportivo Madryn1043313:9415
    6Godoy Cruz103618:6215
    7Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    8Racing Cordoba104249:10-114
    9Almirante Brown104247:8-114
    10San Miguel113539:11-214
    11CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    12San Telmo1134412:14-213
    13CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    14Ferro103347:8-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever101459:15-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1071218:11722
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1045110:6417
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Temperley113719:7216
    8Midland103438:7113
    9San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    10Quilmes1033411:8312
    11Gimnasia y Tiro1033410:12-212
    12Colegiales113358:12-412
    13Deportivo Maipu1032511:13-211
    14Chacarita Juniors103259:12-311
    15Agropecuario103259:13-411
    16Club A. Guemes1024410:14-410
    17Patronato102444:9-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation