Atlanta Dream vs Los Angeles Sparks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks
Result
104:85
05/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7763
Field Goals Made
3829
Field Goals %
49.4%46%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3841
2-Point Field Goals Made
1923
2-Point Field Goals %
50%56.1%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3922
3-Point Field Goals Made
196
3-Point Field Goals %
48.7%27.3%
Free Throws Attempted
1225
Free Throws Made
921
Free Throws %
75%84%
Offensive Rebounds
137
Defensive Rebounds
2820
Total Rebounds
4127
Assists
2816
Blocks
24
Turnovers
98
Steals
43
Personal Fouls
2012

Chances of winning


Atlanta Dream
67.8%
Los Angeles Sparks
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Dream has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Los Angeles Sparks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.36)

    2.96
    (3.33)
    5%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 170.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 50%). Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Los Angeles Sparks will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • Atlanta is Qualified for WNBA (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5.
    • Atlanta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Los Angeles's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Atlanta is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Atlanta will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1599:1565. (average 80:78.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 814:786. (average 81.4:78.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks were as follows:
    03.09.2025 Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks 86:75
    27.05.2025 Los Angeles Sparks - Atlanta Dream 82:88
    01.09.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Atlanta Dream 62:80
    16.06.2024 Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks 87:74
    15.05.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Atlanta Dream 81:92
    Latest results of Atlanta Dream
    Latest results of Los Angeles Sparks
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Golden State Valkyries W (8)2 : 0
    2Phoenix Mercury W (4)New York Liberty W (5)2 : 1
    3Las Vegas Aces W (2)Seattle Storm W (7)2 : 1
    4Atlanta Dream W (3)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Phoenix Mercury W (4)1 : 1
    2Las Vegas Aces W (2)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 1