Atlanta Dream vs Los Angeles Sparks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
104:85
05/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7763
Field Goals Made
3829
Field Goals %
49.4%46%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3841
2-Point Field Goals Made
1923
2-Point Field Goals %
50%56.1%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3922
3-Point Field Goals Made
196
3-Point Field Goals %
48.7%27.3%
Free Throws Attempted
1225
Free Throws Made
921
Free Throws %
75%84%
Offensive Rebounds
137
Defensive Rebounds
2820
Total Rebounds
4127
Assists
2816
Blocks
24
Turnovers
98
Steals
43
Personal Fouls
2012

Chances of winning


Atlanta Dream
67.8%
Los Angeles Sparks
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Dream has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Los Angeles Sparks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.36)

    2.96
    (3.33)
    5%
    (3.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 170.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 40%). Los Angeles (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -2.5, OT - Atlanta (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5, OT - Los Angeles (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Los Angeles (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Los Angeles (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Half - Los Angeles (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Los Angeles Sparks will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 3 - 30%). Los Angeles (votes: 7 - 70%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • Atlanta is Qualified for WNBA (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5.
    • Atlanta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Los Angeles's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Atlanta is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Atlanta will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1599:1565. (average 80:78.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 814:786. (average 81.4:78.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks were as follows:
    03.09.2025 Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks 86:75
    27.05.2025 Los Angeles Sparks - Atlanta Dream 82:88
    01.09.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Atlanta Dream 62:80
    16.06.2024 Atlanta Dream - Los Angeles Sparks 87:74
    15.05.2024 Los Angeles Sparks - Atlanta Dream 81:92
    Latest results of Atlanta Dream
    Latest results of Los Angeles Sparks
    WNBA Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Las Vegas Aces W0000:00.000
    2Seattle Storm W0000:00.000
    3Los Angeles Sparks W0000:00.000
    4Minnesota Lynx W0000:00.000
    5Phoenix Mercury W0000:00.000
    6Dallas Wings W0000:00.000
    7Golden State Valkyries W0000:00.000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Connecticut Sun W0000:00.000
    2New York Liberty W0000:00.000
    3Indiana Fever W0000:00.000
    4Washington Mystics W0000:00.000
    5Chicago Sky W0000:00.000
    6Atlanta Dream W0000:00.000


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Las Vegas Aces W0000:00.000
    2Seattle Storm W0000:00.000
    3Connecticut Sun W0000:00.000
    4Los Angeles Sparks W0000:00.000
    5Minnesota Lynx W0000:00.000
    6New York Liberty W0000:00.000
    7Indiana Fever W0000:00.000
    8Phoenix Mercury W0000:00.000
    9Washington Mystics W0000:00.000
    10Chicago Sky W0000:00.000
    11Atlanta Dream W0000:00.000
    12Dallas Wings W0000:00.000
    13Portland W0000:00.000
    14Golden State Valkyries W0000:00.000
    15Toronto Tempo W0000:00.000

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