Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV, EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (372/430) | 83% (338/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (372/430) | 83% (338/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (34/52) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (73/104) | 60% (61/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Almiron M. ⚽,
- 37', MacNaughton L. 🟨,
- 43', Clark C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Stroud J. ↓, Peglow ↑,
- 55', Clark C. ↓, Gabriel Pirani ↑,
- 64', Hopkins J. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pirani ⚽,
- 68', Antley C. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
- 74', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 75', Brennan L. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
- 80', Hopkins J. ↓, Boris Enow ↑,
- 82', Servania B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
57.7% | Draw
22.4% | DC United
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and DC United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that DC United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlanta United - DC United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(2.1) |
4.34 ↑
(3.2) |
4.94 ↑
(3.4) |
2.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - DC United?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). DC United will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
- Atlanta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- DC United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlanta is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Fortune A.
(Foot Injury)
Hernandez R.
(International duty)
Lobjanidze S.
(International duty)
Mihaj E.
(International duty)
- There will not play in DC United: Barraza L.
(Red Card)
Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Herrera A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Atlanta: Edwards M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lennon B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Reilly W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in DC United: Tubbs G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against DC United?
Atlanta United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has DC United won against Atlanta United?
DC United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - DC United were as follows:
05.07.2025
DC United
-
Atlanta United
0:0
26.07.2024
Atlanta United
-
DC United
3:4
19.06.2024
DC United
-
Atlanta United
0:1
11.05.2024
Atlanta United
-
DC United
2:3
20.09.2023
DC United
-
Atlanta United
1:1
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of DC United
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
