Result
0:0
24/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (383/447) | 85% (326/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (383/447) | 85% (326/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (108/143) | 75% (93/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Amador P. ↓, Lennon B. ↑,
- 61', Muyumba T. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
- 61', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 63', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 63', Long K. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
- 65', Alzate S. 🟨,
- 70', Gregersen S. 🟨,
- 80', Corbeanu T. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 82', Almiron M. 🟨,
- 84', Coello A. 🟨,
- 86', Hernandez R. ↓, Berrocal J. ↑,
- 86', Almiron M. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
- 90', Rosted S. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
- 90', Dominguez M. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
55% | Draw
23.7% | Toronto FC
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlanta United - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2) |
4.01 ↑
(3.98) |
4.49 ↑
(3.33) |
5.5%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Toronto FC?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 64.6% – 94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
- Atlanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Toronto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Amador P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Edwards M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Fortune A.
(Foot Injury)
Thiare J.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Toronto FC?
Atlanta United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Atlanta United?
Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Toronto FC were as follows:
12.07.2025
Toronto FC
-
Atlanta United
1:1
29.06.2024
Atlanta United
-
Toronto FC
2:1
23.03.2024
Toronto FC
-
Atlanta United
2:0
15.04.2023
Toronto FC
-
Atlanta United
2:2
04.03.2023
Atlanta United
-
Toronto FC
1:1
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:34 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 41 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 40:48 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 44:59 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 34:51 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 20 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 52 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 29 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | New York City | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 42 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 40 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:51 | -22 | 24 |
| 15 | DC United | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
