Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | RDS 2, RDS App, TSN 4 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (244/314) | 85% (466/547) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (244/314) | 85% (466/547) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 60% (30/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (57/95) | 69% (90/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 45+6', Flores D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Flores D. ⚽, Longstaff M. (A),
- 53', Flores D. ↓, Coello A. ↑,
- 62', Rosted S. 🟨,
- 64', Etienne D. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 65', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
- 76', Muyumba T. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 82', Spicer T. 🟨,
- 88', Petretta R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Corbeanu T. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 90+8', Rosted S. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
- 90+9', Sharp C. 🟨,
- 90+10', 1 - 1, Latte Lath E. (Pen),
- 90+12', Thiare J. 🟨,
- 90+12', Longstaff M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
38.7% | Draw
27% | Atlanta United
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Toronto FC - Atlanta United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.72) |
3.51 ↓
(3.62) |
2.77 ↑
(2.49) |
5.4%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Atlanta United?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Atlanta will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 13.8% – 61.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J.
(Forearm injury)
Fortune A.
(Foot Injury)
Williams D.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Osorio J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Atlanta United?
Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Toronto FC?
Atlanta United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Atlanta United were as follows:
29.06.2024
Atlanta United
-
Toronto FC
2:1
23.03.2024
Toronto FC
-
Atlanta United
2:0
15.04.2023
Toronto FC
-
Atlanta United
2:2
04.03.2023
Atlanta United
-
Toronto FC
1:1
10.09.2022
Atlanta United
-
Toronto FC
4:2
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Atlanta United
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
| 10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
