Atlanta United vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Toronto FC
24/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
55%
Draw
23.7%
Toronto FC
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 23.9% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 23.8% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta United - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2)
    4.01
    (3.98)
    4.49
    (3.33)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 64.6%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
    • Atlanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toronto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Amador P. (Hamstring Injury) Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Thiare J. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Toronto FC were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 1:1
    29.06.2024 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 2:1
    23.03.2024 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 2:0
    15.04.2023 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 2:2
    04.03.2023 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 1:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    16.08.2025 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 1:1
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 1:0
    16.07.2025 San Diego - Toronto FC 0:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Orlando City28138754:401447
    5Inter Miami25137554:401446
    6Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

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