Atlanta United vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Toronto FC
Result
0:0
24/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.01
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
86% (383/447)85% (326/385)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.120.38
Total shots
612
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
917
Passes
86% (383/447)85% (326/385)
Long passes
45% (14/31)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
76% (108/143)75% (93/124)
Crosses
17% (3/18)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.70
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
179
Tackles
86% (6/7)70% (16/23)
Duels won
2853
Clearances
3030
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.380.12
Goals prevented
0.380.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Amador P. , Lennon B. ,
  • 61', Muyumba T. , Alzate S. ,
  • 61', Lobjanidze S. , Thiare J. ,
  • 63', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 63', Long K. , Petretta R. ,
  • 65', Alzate S. 🟨,
  • 70', Gregersen S. 🟨,
  • 80', Corbeanu T. , Henry M. ,
  • 82', Almiron M. 🟨,
  • 84', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 86', Hernandez R. , Berrocal J. ,
  • 86', Almiron M. , Togashi C. ,
  • 90', Rosted S. , Thompson K. ,
  • 90', Dominguez M. , Etienne D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
55%
Draw
23.7%
Toronto FC
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 23.9% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 23.8% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta United - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2)
    4.01
    (3.98)
    4.49
    (3.33)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 64.6%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
    • Atlanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toronto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Amador P. (Hamstring Injury) Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Thiare J. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Toronto FC were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 1:1
    29.06.2024 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 2:1
    23.03.2024 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 2:0
    15.04.2023 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 2:2
    04.03.2023 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 1:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    16.08.2025 Toronto FC - Columbus Crew 1:1
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 1:0
    16.07.2025 San Diego - Toronto FC 0:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)