Atlante vs Atlético Morelia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Atlante
58.1%
Draw
24%
Atlético Morelia
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 23.1% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8% 25.7% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Atlante - Atlético Morelia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.53)
    3.81
    (4.05)
    5.12
    (5.86)
    9.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.
    • Atlante has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Morelia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlante is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 0.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlante - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Atlético Morelia - Atlante 0:2
    26.04.2025 Atlante - Atlético Morelia 2:3
    23.04.2025 Atlético Morelia - Atlante 0:0
    25.01.2025 Atlético Morelia - Atlante 0:2
    11.08.2024 Atlante - Atlético Morelia 3:1
    Latest results of Atlante
    25.02.2026 Irapuato - Atlante 0:5
    13.02.2026 Correcaminos UAT - Atlante 1:1
    07.02.2026 Atlante - Tapatío 1:3
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia751111:3816
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos84318:4415
    3Tapatio742116:10614
    4Tlaxcala741211:9213
    5Cancun731310:8210
    6Atlante723210:739
    7Atletico La Paz62318:539
    8Irapuato730413:14-19
    9Alebrijes Oaxaca72329:10-19
    10Venados822416:17-18
    11Zacatecas Mineros72239:10-18
    12Leones Negros71338:13-56
    13Jaiba Brava62045:10-56
    14Correcaminos71336:12-66
    15Dorados de Sinaloa813411:19-86

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)