Result
2:3
26/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Claro Sports, ESPN 4, FOX Sports 3, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes |
 World | Disney+, Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 20', 1 - 0, Garcia Pardo M. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Ibarra J. ⚽,
- 38', Jimenez E. 🟨,
- 40', Garcia Pardo M. 🟨,
- 40', Torres Rodriguez R. D. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Islas O. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Ortega W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Duran R. 🟨,
- 59', Lopez R. ↓, Polydoro L. ↑,
- 59', Yrizar P. ↓, Maleck J. ↑,
- 59', Martinez J. ↓,
- 62', Jimenez E. 🟥,
- 64', Duran R. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 69', Ortega W. 🟨,
- 70', Garcia J. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
- 72', Ibarra J. ↓, Elbis ↑,
- 76', Islas O. ↓, Trejo C. ↑,
- 79', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Mejia L. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, Trejo C. ⚽,
- 90+3', Polydoro L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlante
49.1% | Draw
26.2% | Atlético Morelia
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlante's form might have worsened.Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Morelia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Morelia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlante - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.55) |
3.58 ↓
(3.99) |
3.81 ↓
(5.38) |
6.4%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlante won 3.
- Recent matches Atlante is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Atlético Morelia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Atlante is a favorite.
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Atlante won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:11 (average 0.8:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlante won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:5 (average 0.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Atlético Morelia?
Atlante has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Atlante?
Atlético Morelia has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlante - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
23.04.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlante
0:0
25.01.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlante
0:2
11.08.2024
Atlante
-
Atlético Morelia
3:1
24.03.2024
Atlante
-
Atlético Morelia
0:0
15.10.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlante
0:1
Latest results of Atlante
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Irapuato | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Tapatio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cancun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Morelia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Leones Negros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Atletico La Paz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Venados | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
