Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Sandoval L. 🟥,
- 45', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 45+5', Vazquez B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Escobar A. ↓, Bello B. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Bello B. ⚽, Ibarra J. (A),
- 65', 0 - 2, Calzadilla L. ⚽, Cruz D. (A),
- 68', Islas O. ↓, del Campo R. ↑,
- 69', Cruz D. ↓, Tovar J. ↑,
- 69', Gonzalez S. ↓, Wlk A. ↑,
- 69', Calzadilla L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 77', Carrera J. N. 🟨,
- 81', Moreno G. ↓, Palma A. ↑,
- 81', Figueroa B. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 81', Ibarra J. ↓, Mejia L. ↑,
- 82', del Campo R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
32% | Draw
27.3% | Atlante
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Morelia's form might have worsened.Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlante's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Morelia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Morelia - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.27) |
3.43 ↓
(3.44) |
2.3 ↓
(2.92) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 1.
- Atlético Morelia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlante is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Atlético Morelia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Atlante?
Atlético Morelia has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Atlético Morelia?
Atlante has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Atlante were as follows:
26.04.2025
Atlante
-
Atlético Morelia
2:3
23.04.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlante
0:0
25.01.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlante
0:2
11.08.2024
Atlante
-
Atlético Morelia
3:1
24.03.2024
Atlante
-
Atlético Morelia
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
