Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes, Hi! Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Puente L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13', 1 - 1, Nambo M. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 1, Puente L. ⚽, Escobar A. (A),
- 30', Pasquel Colin R. 🟨,
- 31', del Campo R. 🟨,
- 45', Palma A. 🟨,
- 45', Palma A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Moreno G. ↓, Botello O. ↑,
- 46', Figueroa B. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 60', del Campo R. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 63', Ibarra J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 64', Puente L. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 66', Martinez J. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
- 68', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 73', Zamora D. 🟨,
- 79', Nambo M. ↓, Alejandre R. G. ↑,
- 79', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
- 85', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 88', Pizzuto E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 90+5', Aguilera A. D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlante
58.4% | Draw
24.4% | Atlético Morelia
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-3%)
Atlante - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.53) |
3.79 ↓
(4.05) |
5.33 ↓
(5.86) |
8.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlante - Atlético Morelia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Atlético Morelia (4.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Morelia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.
- Recent performances by Atlante have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Morelia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético Morelia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlante is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 0.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Atlético Morelia?
Atlante has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Atlante?
Atlético Morelia has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlante - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
27.09.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlante
0:2
26.04.2025
Atlante
-
Atlético Morelia
2:3
23.04.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlante
0:0
25.01.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlante
0:2
11.08.2024
Atlante
-
Atlético Morelia
3:1
Latest results of Atlante
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
