Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 22', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 34', Ibarra J. ↓, Galvan P. ↑,
- 42', 0 - 1, Moragrega V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Corona N. 🟨,
- 62', Corona N. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
- 62', Angulo J. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
- 62', Garcia D. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 68', Sanchez A. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Magana D. ⚽,
- 75', Santacruz J. 🟨,
- 88', Perez E. ↓, Ramos Saucedo S. ↑,
- 88', Soto O. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 90+2', Escoboza A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Garcia Pardo M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Jimenez E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rios A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jaiba Brava
32.7% | Draw
30.6% | Atlante
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaiba Brava's performance.Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaiba Brava that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jaiba Brava - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↓
(3.74) |
3.03 ↓
(3.7) |
2.53 ↑
(1.83) |
7.8%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Jaiba Brava is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Jaiba Brava won 1.
- Jaiba Brava in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Atlante is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Jaiba Brava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Atlante will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Jaiba Brava won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:19 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Jaiba Brava won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Atlante?
Jaiba Brava has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Jaiba Brava?
Atlante has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaiba Brava - Atlante were as follows:
04.11.2024
Atlante
-
Jaiba Brava
4:0
14.07.2024
Atlante
-
Jaiba Brava
0:2
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Irapuato | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Tapatio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cancun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Morelia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Leones Negros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Atletico La Paz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Venados | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
