Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (235/301) | 81% (279/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (235/301) | 81% (279/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 47% (24/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 65% (60/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 37 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Aguirre G. 🟨,
- 36', Serrato J. 🟨,
- 40', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Guilherme Castilho ⚽,
- 57', Aguirre G. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 57', Serrato J. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 60', Zaldivar A. ↓, Estupinan O. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Coccaro M. ⚽, Lozano J. (A),
- 74', Campillo Del Campo D. 🟨,
- 80', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
- 80', Orquin R. ↓, Ortega H. ↑,
- 88', Coccaro M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Madson ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlas
44% | Draw
28% | Juárez
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Atlas - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.97) |
3.36 ↓
(3.57) |
3.37 ↓
(3.68) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlas - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
Atlas will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlas won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Juárez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Atlas will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia M. E.
(Red Card)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Flores L.
(Muscle Injury)
Lozano B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlas won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Juárez?
Atlas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Atlas?
Juárez has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Juárez were as follows:
05.07.2024
Juárez
-
Atlas
2:2
28.01.2024
Atlas
-
Juárez
2:1
22.09.2023
Juárez
-
Atlas
1:2
09.04.2023
Juárez
-
Atlas
1:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Juarez | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Puebla | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | UNAM Pumas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
