Result
2:0
24/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
 Usa | Estrella TV, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (443/515) | 81% (274/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (443/515) | 81% (274/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (35/56) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (92/125) | 58% (40/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Herrera O. ⚽, Farfan M. (A),
- 19', Romulo 🟨,
- 30', Lozano J. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
- 56', Pier R. ↓, Matheus Doria ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Lainez D. ⚽,
- 66', Garcia M. E. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 66', Gonzalez D. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 70', Herrera O. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
- 70', Gorriaran F. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
- 79', Lainez D. ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
- 79', Gignac A. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
- 83', Joaquim ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
74.3% | Draw
15.7% | Atlas
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigres UANL's performance.Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-22.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres UANL that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tigres UANL - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.39) |
6.35 ↑
(4.5) |
10.22 ↑
(5.75) |
2.6%
(11.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Atlas?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigres: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 2.
- Tigres has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tigres has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tigres is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Tigres: Gignac A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Guerrero R.
(Ankle Injury)
Tapia F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Aguirre E.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Atlas?
Tigres UANL has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Tigres UANL?
Atlas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Atlas were as follows:
08.02.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Atlas
2:1
12.07.2024
Atlas
-
Tigres UANL
1:1
24.02.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Atlas
1:1
17.09.2023
Atlas
-
Tigres UANL
2:0
18.02.2023
Atlas
-
Tigres UANL
0:1
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
