Result
4:1
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Usa | Estrella TV, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Peacock, Telemundo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (202/282) | 85% (480/563) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (202/282) | 85% (480/563) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/70) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 76% (162/213) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -1.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Aguirre R. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Brunetta J. ⚽, Aguirre R. (A),
- 22', Guerrero R. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 1, Aguirre D. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Aguirre R. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
- 45+3', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gomez M. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
- 46', 3 - 1, Correa A. ⚽, Brunetta J. (A),
- 57', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 58', Alvarez E. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 62', Aguirre R. ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 65', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
- 66', Whalley O. 🟨,
- 67', Gonzalez B. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 77', Angulo J. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
- 77', Aguirre D. ↓, Tapias M. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 1, Brunetta J. ⚽, Gorriaran F. (A),
- 85', Brunetta J. ↓, Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
38.2% | Draw
28.3% | Chivas Guadalajara
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+3%)
Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.54) |
3.3 ↑
(3.28) |
2.79 ↑
(2.49) |
6.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 2.
- Tigres has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tigres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Tigres: Farfan M.
(Thigh Injury)
Lainez D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Lorona V.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Tigres UANL has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Tigres UANL?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
17.09.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tigres UANL
0:0
25.01.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tigres UANL
1:1
24.08.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
21.01.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
28.10.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tigres UANL
0:4
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
