Result
09/05/2026 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
46% | Draw
26.8% | Tigres UANL
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.99) |
3.5 ↑
(3.48) |
3.4 ↓
(3.61) |
7.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-3. Second leg.
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0.
- Guadalajara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tigres is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tigres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guadalajara could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Tigres UANL?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Tigres UANL has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL were as follows:
02.05.2026
Tigres UANL
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:1
11.04.2026
Tigres UANL
-
Chivas Guadalajara
4:1
17.09.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tigres UANL
0:0
25.01.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tigres UANL
1:1
24.08.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | UNAM Pumas (1) | Club America (8) | 3 : 3 |
| 2 | Pachuca (4) | Toluca (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas (2) | Tigres UANL (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Atlas (6) | 3 : 2 |
