Atlas vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
29/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Ximena M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoTubi TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
01
Total shots
156
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
92
Corner Kicks
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Ramirez M. 🟨,
  • 6', Ceren B. (Pen),
  • 30', van de Sanden S. 🟨,
  • 38', Ramirez M. 🟨,
  • 42', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Robert F. ,
  • 45+6', Ceren B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Peraza C. , Vazquez S. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 60', Huerta A. , Fernandez K. ,
  • 60', Huerta R. F. T. , Garcia J. ,
  • 64', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Acevedo V. ,
  • 72', Vazquez S. 🟨,
  • 84', Robert F. , Cortez V. ,
  • 90', Valadez N. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 2 - 2, Fernandez K. ,
  • 90+10', Le Sommer E. , Munoz I. ,

Chances of winning


Atlas
23.8%
Draw
24.9%
Toluca
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 28.3% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 29.1% 39.3%

Atlas - Toluca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.87
(2.71)
3.7
(3.2)
1.79
(2.37)
8.6%
(10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlas - Toluca?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Toluca will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.
    • Atlas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toluca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Toluca might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 2.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Toluca were as follows:
    05.02.2025 Toluca - Atlas 0:2
    12.09.2024 Atlas - Toluca 1:1
    12.01.2024 Atlas - Toluca 2:2
    12.10.2023 Toluca - Atlas 2:1
    09.02.2023 Toluca - Atlas 3:4
    Latest results of Atlas
    20.09.2025 Necaxa - Atlas 0:1
    15.09.2025 Santos Laguna - Atlas 1:2
    05.09.2025 Atlas - Querétaro 6:2
    01.09.2025 Atlas - Mazatlan 2:1
    26.08.2025 Pachuca - Atlas 3:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    22.09.2025 Toluca - Club America 3:3
    12.09.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 0:1
    06.09.2025 UNAM - Toluca 1:2
    31.08.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 2:0
    26.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 4:3
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Juarez W (8)0 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Pachuca W (2)Cruz Azul W (7)0 : 5, 2 : 1
    3Club America W (3)Monterrey W (6)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Toluca W (4)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Cruz Azul W (7)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Club America W (3)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)2 : 0, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Club America W (3)3 : 3