Result
1:4
17/05/2025 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (277/335) | 88% (407/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (277/335) | 88% (407/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 60% (33/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (44/77) | 68% (67/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.72 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 20', 0 - 1, Pons L. (Pen),
- 33', 0 - 2, Fabry ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 3, Romana C. ⚽,
- 45+3', 0 - 4, Pons L. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Castaneda F. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
- 46', Cardenas S. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 46', Cruz W. ↓, Paternina C. ↑,
- 46', Orozco S. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 4, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽,
- 63', Romana C. 🟨,
- 67', Garcia Y. 🟨,
- 72', Chavez D. ↓, Ibarguen A. ↑,
- 84', Pons L. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 84', Londono K. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
- 85', Abonia Y. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 85', Garcia Y. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
- 90+5', Ibarguen A. 🟥,
- 90+5', Copete D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Equidad
26.6% | Draw
28.9% | Atlético Bucaramanga
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↑
(2.38) |
3.24 ↑
(3.05) |
2.14 ↓
(3) |
6%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
28.09.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:1
16.03.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportivo La Equidad
4:0
25.10.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:3
12.05.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
15.10.2022
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Deportivo La Equidad
3:1
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | La Equidad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
