Deportivo La Equidad vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga
Result
1:4
17/05/2025 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.70
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
83% (277/335)88% (407/464)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.28
Total shots
910
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
1212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
83% (277/335)88% (407/464)
Long passes
43% (20/46)60% (33/55)
Passes in final third
57% (44/77)68% (67/99)
Crosses
0% (0/5)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.190.71
Throw-ins
1723
Fouls
1713
Tackles
89% (16/18)92% (11/12)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.281.06
Goals prevented
-2.720.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Pons L. (Pen),
  • 33', 0 - 2, Fabry ,
  • 37', 0 - 3, Romana C. ,
  • 45+3', 0 - 4, Pons L. , Londono K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Castaneda F. , Penaranda A. ,
  • 46', Cardenas S. , Flores L. ,
  • 46', Cruz W. , Paternina C. ,
  • 46', Orozco S. , Correa A. ,
  • 46', Hernandez J. , Chaverra F. ,
  • 49', 1 - 4, Castro Espinosa B. D. ,
  • 63', Romana C. 🟨,
  • 67', Garcia Y. 🟨,
  • 72', Chavez D. , Ibarguen A. ,
  • 84', Pons L. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 84', Londono K. , Blanco J. ,
  • 85', Abonia Y. , Lopez S. ,
  • 85', Garcia Y. , Castro D. ,
  • 90+5', Ibarguen A. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Copete D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo La Equidad
26.6%
Draw
28.9%
Atlético Bucaramanga
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 30.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 28.6% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (2.38)
    3.24
    (3.05)
    2.14
    (3)
    6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1
    16.03.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo La Equidad 4:0
    25.10.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo La Equidad 2:3
    12.05.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    15.10.2022 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo La Equidad 3:1
    Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior33009:369
    2Atl. Nacional32017:436
    3Fortaleza22003:126
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Llaneros31202:115
    6Chico31114:314
    7Pereira31114:404
    8Alianza31112:204
    9La Equidad31112:3-14
    10Dep. Pasto11003:213
    11Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    12Aguilas30212:3-12
    13Bucaramanga10101:101
    14America De Cali10100:001
    15Envigado20110:1-11
    16Ind. Medellin20111:3-21
    17Dep. Cali20110:2-21
    18U. Magdalena20111:4-31
    19Millonarios10010:1-10
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

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