Santa Cruz de Natal vs Atlético Cearense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz de Natal - Atlético Cearense
Result
1:2
12/06/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Ari ,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Ari ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Paulinho (Pen),
  • 85', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz de Natal
62.4%
Draw
22.4%
Atlético Cearense
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 25.2% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 24.4% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz de Natal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz de Natal's performance.
  • Atlético Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Cearense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz de Natal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Cearense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Santa Cruz de Natal - Atlético Cearense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.8)
    4.04
    (3.63)
    5.93
    (3.83)
    10.7%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Santa Cruz de Natal - Atlético Cearense?
  • Users Predictions: Santa Cruz de Natal will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • Santa Cruz de Natal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Atlético Cearense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Santa Cruz de Natal is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Santa Cruz de Natal to win the game is with odds 1.53.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz de Natal - Atlético Cearense were as follows:
    08.06.2024 Atlético Cearense - Santa Cruz de Natal 2:0
    Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
    Latest results of Atlético Cearense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0