Maracanã vs Santa Cruz de Natal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/06/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 9

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, ,
  • 39', 🟥,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 81', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Maracanã
45.6%
Draw
28.2%
Santa Cruz de Natal
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 30.2% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 29.2% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maracanã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maracanã's performance.
  • Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maracanã that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Maracanã - Santa Cruz de Natal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.34)
    3.2
    (3.02)
    3.45
    (2.97)
    10.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Maracanã has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Santa Cruz de Natal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Maracanã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Maracanã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maracanã - Santa Cruz de Natal were as follows:
    01.06.2024 Santa Cruz de Natal - Maracanã 1:0
    Latest results of Maracanã
    12.06.2024 Sousa - Maracanã 3:2
    09.06.2024 Maracanã - Sousa 0:1
    26.05.2024 Maracanã - Iguatu 2:2
    Latest results of Santa Cruz de Natal
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM43018:629
    2Manauara42207:348
    3Sao Raimundo RR42204:138
    4Manaus41122:4-24
    5Monte Roraima40221:4-32
    6GAS40132:6-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guapore43106:2410
    2Araguaina42206:428
    3Porto Velho521211:567
    4Galvez42024:7-36
    5Independencia51226:515
    6Humaita40042:12-100


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama541010:1913
    2Luverdense52214:6-28
    3Aparecidense42026:516
    4Brasiliense41303:216
    5Primavera AC40223:6-32
    6Inhumas40042:8-60


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goiatuba541010:3713
    2Capital53115:3210
    3Mixto51314:406
    4Ceilandia41122:3-14
    5Uniao Rondonopolis51135:10-54
    6Operario VG40133:6-31


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trem42207:438
    2Aguia De Maraba41306:426
    3Imperatriz41305:326
    4Tuna Luso51316:606
    5Oratorio41034:7-33
    6Tocantinopolis50324:8-43


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Iguatu53206:2411
    2Maracana42115:327
    3Moto Club41213:305
    4Parnahyba41122:4-24
    5Sampaio Correa30210:1-12
    6IAPE40224:7-32


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI52308:449
    2Piaui42118:627
    3Ferroviario42116:427
    4AE Altos52124:7-37
    5Atletico-CE50412:4-24
    6Tirol50234:7-32


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC53118:5310
    2America RN43015:239
    3Central SC52216:428
    4Maguary42025:326
    5Sousa41032:5-33
    6Laguna RN40131:8-71


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Serra Branca52309:549
    2Treze PB421111:747
    3Sergipe42117:617
    4Lagarto51139:12-34
    5Retro41126:9-34
    6Decisao41125:8-34


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juazeirense54019:5412
    2CSA531110:4610
    3ASA42114:317
    4CSE41125:7-24
    5Jacuipense41123:6-34
    6Alagoinhas40042:8-60


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uberlandia54018:4412
    2Ivinhema53117:5210
    3Betim42115:417
    4CRAC41123:304
    5Operario MS50323:6-33
    6Ouvidorense50232:6-42


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA53026:9-39
    2Tombense42114:137
    3Rio Branco ES42117:527
    4Democrata GV42113:217
    5Vitoria ES42027:436
    6Real Noroeste50142:8-61


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa53208:3511
    2Agua Santa53028:449
    3Portuguesa RJ52217:258
    4America RJ51224:11-75
    5Madureira51136:8-24
    6Pouso Alegre51132:7-54


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba52309:549
    2Sampaio Correa FE52215:508
    3Velo Clube42115:327
    4Marica52125:507
    5Noroeste51224:5-15
    6Nova Iguacu40132:7-51


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville53207:3411
    2Cascavel52214:228
    3Santa Catarina52129:727
    4Cianorte42025:416
    5Sao Luiz41215:6-15
    6Guarany de Bage50141:9-81


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau54018:3512
    2Sao Joseense53113:2110
    3Marcilio Dias52213:218
    4Brasil de Pelotas52126:517
    5Azuriz40131:4-31
    6EC Sao Jose40131:6-51

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)