Result
2:1
07/09/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ⚽,
- 20', 🟨,
- 30', 2 - 0, Pastorelli A. ⚽,
- 33', 🟨,
- 40', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 79', 🟥,
- 80', 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 🟥,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético de Rafaela 70.3% | Draw 18.2% | 9 de Julio 11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↑ (1.44) |
5.72 ↑ (3.95) |
9.02 ↑ (6.37) |
-3.9% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Atlético Rafaela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- 9 de Julio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- 9 de Julio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the undisputed favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela won against 9 de Julio?
Atlético de Rafaela has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 9 de Julio won against Atlético de Rafaela?
9 de Julio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio were as follows:
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
Latest results of 9 de Julio
Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
2026Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Defensores Belgrano VR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Sportivo Belgrano | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | El Linqueno | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Chivilcoy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 8 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Gimnasia E.R | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 10 | Atletico Escobar | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Juventud Antoniana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Defensores de Vilelas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Tucuman Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bartolome Mitre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Boca Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | San Martin Formosa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Costa Brava | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventud U.U | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Cipolletti | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Biblioteca Atenas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | San Martin Mendoza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Huracan Las Heras | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Argentino MM | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Fundacion Amigos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Kimberley | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Santamarina | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Sol de Mayo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Germinal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Alvarado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | Guillermo Brown | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )