Atlético de Rafaela vs 9 de Julio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/09/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
84
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
11
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
713
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ,
  • 20', 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Pastorelli A. ,
  • 33', 🟨,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 79', 🟥,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
70.3%
Draw
18.2%
9 de Julio
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 22.9% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 22.1% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.
  • 9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.44)
    5.72
    (3.95)
    9.02
    (6.37)
    -3.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Atlético Rafaela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • 9 de Julio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • 9 de Julio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the undisputed favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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