Atlético de Rafaela vs 9 de Julio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio
Result
2:1
07/09/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
84
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
11
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
713
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ,
  • 20', 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Pastorelli A. ,
  • 33', 🟨,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 79', 🟥,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
70.3%
Draw
18.2%
9 de Julio
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 22.9% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 22.1% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.
  • 9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.44)
    5.72
    (3.95)
    9.02
    (6.37)
    -3.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Atlético Rafaela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • 9 de Julio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • 9 de Julio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the undisputed favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    59 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    6Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    7Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    8Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    10Argentino MM (2)Bye
    11Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    12Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 1
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)2 : 0
    39 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)2 : 1
    4Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0
    5Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)2 : 0
    6Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)0 : 0
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 1