Atlético de Rafaela vs Independiente Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
82
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
85
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Pastorelli A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 64', Leineker C. , Miranda B. ,
  • 67', Mast T. 🟨,
  • 77', Affranchino F. , Marquez E. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', Ponce F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
62.7%
Draw
23.9%
Independiente Chivilcoy
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 24.8% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 23.9% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.53)
    3.81
    (3.65)
    6.76
    (5.69)
    9.9%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Atlético Rafaela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ind Chivilcoy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ind Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR732213:10311
    3Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    49 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    5Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    6Chivilcoy63125:5010
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Atletico Escobar72149:14-57
    9Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas63127:7010
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    5Costa Brava71426:517
    6Deportivo Rincon61326:7-16
    7Argentino MM51312:3-16
    8San Martin Mendoza61321:4-36
    9Fundacion Amigos61238:10-25


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca65107:0716
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Alvarado62314:319
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Villa Mitre61323:306
    7Germinal51313:306
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

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