Atlético de Rafaela vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Total shots
127
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Albertengo L. 🟨,
  • 13', 🟨,
  • 14', Fiol F. 🟨,
  • 17', Sosa G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 58', Soloa F. , Marchiori T. ,
  • 58', Aquino D. , Miranda B. ,
  • 58', Pastorelli A. , Alfano A. ,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', Affranchino F. , Leineker C. ,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Alfano A. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Miranda B. ,
  • 90+4', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
54%
Draw
29.8%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.9% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 31.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.8)
    3.1
    (3.25)
    5.72
    (4.2)
    8.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gimnasia Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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