Atlético de Rafaela vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Total shots
127
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Albertengo L. 🟨,
  • 13', 🟨,
  • 14', Fiol F. 🟨,
  • 17', Sosa G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 58', Soloa F. , Marchiori T. ,
  • 58', Aquino D. , Miranda B. ,
  • 58', Pastorelli A. , Alfano A. ,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', Affranchino F. , Leineker C. ,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Alfano A. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Miranda B. ,
  • 90+4', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
54%
Draw
29.8%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.9% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 31.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.8)
    3.1
    (3.25)
    5.72
    (4.2)
    8.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gimnasia Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    59 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    6Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    7Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    8Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    10Argentino MM (2)Bye
    11Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    12Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 1
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)2 : 0
    39 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)2 : 1
    4Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0
    5Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)2 : 0
    6Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)0 : 0
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 1