Atlético de Rafaela vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Total shots
127
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Albertengo L. 🟨,
  • 13', 🟨,
  • 14', Fiol F. 🟨,
  • 17', Sosa G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 58', Soloa F. , Marchiori T. ,
  • 58', Aquino D. , Miranda B. ,
  • 58', Pastorelli A. , Alfano A. ,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', Affranchino F. , Leineker C. ,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Alfano A. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Miranda B. ,
  • 90+4', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
54%
Draw
29.8%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.9% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 31.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.8)
    3.1
    (3.25)
    5.72
    (4.2)
    8.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gimnasia Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR632111:7411
    3Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    49 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    5Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    6Chivilcoy63125:5010
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    9Atletico Escobar61146:12-64
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas53117:3410
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    5Costa Brava71426:517
    6Argentino MM51312:3-16
    7Deportivo Rincon51226:7-15
    8San Martin Mendoza51221:4-35
    9Fundacion Amigos50234:10-62


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca55007:0715
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Alvarado62314:319
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Germinal51313:306
    7Villa Mitre51223:305
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )