Result
3:2
08/09/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 31
- Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 117 | 103 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 68 | 46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Tomatis B. ⚽,
- 52', Larthirigoyen I. ↓, Mayenfisch G. ↑,
- 59', Bustos B. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 2, Quiroz F. (Pen),
- 63', Wuattier E. ↓, Merlino L. ↑,
- 68', Fissore M. ↓, Valdivia M. ↑,
- 68', Albertengo L. ↓, Vidal P. ↑,
- 77', Franco E. ↓, Salerno M. ↑,
- 77', Barreto J. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Salerno M. ⚽,
- 84', Vidal P. ↓, Stizza J. ↑,
- 84', Tomatis B. ↓, Dichiara R. ↑,
- 84', Kozlovsky N. 🟨,
- 88', Gonzalez R. ↓, Yangali J. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 2, Tisera F. ⚽,
- 90', Tisera F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Telmo 42% | Draw 31.7% | Atlético de Rafaela 26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético de Rafaela's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Telmo - Atlético de Rafaela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (1.81) |
2.92 ↓ (3.19) |
3.54 ↓ (4.64) |
7.7% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Watch this match and Argentinian Primera Nacional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TyC Sports
What is the prediction for San Telmo - Atlético de Rafaela?
Users Predictions:
San Telmo will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
- Recent matches San Telmo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético Rafaela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- San Telmo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match San Telmo is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams San Telmo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Atlético de Rafaela?
San Telmo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela won against San Telmo?
Atlético de Rafaela has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Telmo - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
21.04.2024
Atlético de Rafaela
-
San Telmo
1:2
11.09.2022
Atlético de Rafaela
-
San Telmo
2:1
Latest results of San Telmo
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | 0 : 0 |