Result
3:2
08/09/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 31
- Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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52% | 48% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
9 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 1 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Attacks |
---|
117 | 103 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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68 | 46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Tomatis B. ⚽,
- 52', Larthirigoyen I. ↓, Mayenfisch G. ↑,
- 59', Bustos B. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 2, Quiroz F. (Pen),
- 63', Wuattier E. ↓, Merlino L. ↑,
- 68', Fissore M. ↓, Valdivia M. ↑,
- 68', Albertengo L. ↓, Vidal P. ↑,
- 77', Franco E. ↓, Salerno M. ↑,
- 77', Barreto J. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Salerno M. ⚽,
- 84', Vidal P. ↓, Stizza J. ↑,
- 84', Tomatis B. ↓, Dichiara R. ↑,
- 84', Kozlovsky N. 🟨,
- 88', Gonzalez R. ↓, Yangali J. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 2, Tisera F. ⚽,
- 90', Tisera F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Telmo 42% | Draw 31.7% | Atlético de Rafaela 26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético de Rafaela's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Telmo - Atlético de Rafaela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (1.81) |
2.92 ↓ (3.19) |
3.54 ↓ (4.64) |
7.7% (8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Watch this match and Argentinian Primera Nacional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TyC Sports
What is the prediction for San Telmo - Atlético de Rafaela?
Users Predictions:
San Telmo will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
- Recent matches San Telmo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético Rafaela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- San Telmo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match San Telmo is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams San Telmo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Atlético de Rafaela?
San Telmo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela won against San Telmo?
Atlético de Rafaela has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Telmo - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
21.04.2024
Atlético de Rafaela
-
San Telmo
1:2
11.09.2022
Atlético de Rafaela
-
San Telmo
2:1
Latest results of San Telmo
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
2 | Atletico Atlanta | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 42 |
3 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
4 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
5 | San Miguel | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
6 | Patronato | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 38 |
7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Almagro | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
11 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 30 |
13 | Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 27 |
14 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
15 | Ferro | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 27 |
16 | Club A. Guemes | 25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
17 | Alvarado | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 28:12 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 46 |
3 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
4 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28:19 | 9 | 43 |
5 | Temperley | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
8 | CA Estudiantes | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 39 |
9 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
10 | Agropecuario | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
11 | CA Mitre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 17:19 | -2 | 31 |
12 | San Telmo | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 31 |
13 | Def. de Belgrano | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Central Norte | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 28 |
15 | Colon Santa Fe | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
16 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 24 |
17 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 15 |
18 | Talleres (R.E) | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9:30 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation