Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Segunda Division Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo
07/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 19

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maldonado
31.1%
Draw
32.7%
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 27.9% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 28.8% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maldonado's form might have worsened.
  • Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atletico Fenix Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maldonado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atletico Fenix Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.1)
    2.77
    (3.3)
    2.5
    (3.24)
    10.6%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 1:1
    08.03.2025 Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 0:2
    27.11.2024 Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 1:2
    22.06.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1:3
    26.05.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Maldonado
    Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Albion19133327:111642
    2Central Esp1988323:131032
    3Colon1886424:131130
    4Atenas1985621:16529
    5Rentistas1885524:20429
    6Fenix1885521:19229
    7Tacuarembo1877419:15428
    8Maldonado1876519:14527
    9Oriental1966720:23-324
    10Rampla Juniors18621017:20-320
    11Cerrito19451014:28-1417
    12Artigas1829717:22-515
    13La Luz1928917:31-1414
    14Uruguay Montevideo18331211:29-1812