Atlético Goianiense vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club
Result
4:2
07/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.59
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
80% (249/312)84% (304/363)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.431.09
Total shots
149
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2910
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
80% (249/312)84% (304/363)
Long passes
42% (16/38)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
71% (83/117)63% (54/86)
Crosses
27% (6/22)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.80
Fouls
1613
Tackles
89% (8/9)93% (14/15)
Duels won
4348
Clearances Total
1336
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.091.43
Goals prevented
-0.91-2.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Edson Miranda 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Amorim , Yuri (A),
  • 18', Shaylon , Kauan ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Rai Ramos , Marcelinho (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Caio Dantas , Sandro Lima ,
  • 46', Willian Maranhao , Leo Naldi ,
  • 46', Amorim , Max ,
  • 52', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
  • 54', Rai Ramos 🟨,
  • 63', David Braga , Andrey ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Matheus Felipe ,
  • 73', Sandry , Neto Costa ,
  • 74', Welinton Torrao , Nathan ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Sandro Lima , Rhaldney (A),
  • 85', Marcelinho , Robert Conceicao ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Lincoln ,
  • 90+1', Rai Ramos , Ruan ,
  • 90+2', Matheus Felipe 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Robert Conceicao , Sandro Lima (A),
  • 90+5', Neto Costa 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Goianiense
51%
Draw
27.7%
Athletic Club
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 25.6% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 27.9% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.74)
    3.39
    (3.64)
    4.37
    (4.46)
    7.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Goianiense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Atlético GO is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Athletic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Atlético GO is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético GO: Heron (Knee Injury) Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético GO: Ruan (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1897223:121134
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Cuiaba1884622:21128
    6Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    7Remo1768319:15426
    8Avai1767420:18225
    9Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    17Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1746712:20-818

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