Atlético Goianiense vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.640.61
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
80% (246/308)86% (401/468)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.640.61
xG on target (xGOT)
3.250.15
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1321
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
118
Passes
80% (246/308)86% (401/468)
Long passes
42% (24/57)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
48% (41/85)57% (51/90)
Crosses
31% (4/13)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.47
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
811
Tackles
33% (3/9)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3438
Clearances
3018
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.153.25
Goals prevented
0.150.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Maranhao , Martinez F. (A),
  • 30', Maranhao 🟥,
  • 41', Leo 🟥,
  • 45+3', Fernando 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, Guilherme Romao ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mendoza S. , Leozinho ,
  • 59', Robert Conceicao , Talisson ,
  • 61', Patrick , Dudu Kogitzki ,
  • 61', Zapelli B. , Giuliano ,
  • 62', 3 - 0, Adriano Martins , Martinez F. (A),
  • 69', Luiz Fernando , Velasco K. ,
  • 69', Viveros K. , Renan Peixoto ,
  • 72', Vitor P. 🟨,
  • 76', Jean Dias , Valdir Junior ,
  • 77', Martinez F. , Rai Natalino ,
  • 85', Kauan Rodrigues , Castro ,
  • 85', Yuri Alves , Kelvin ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Goianiense
33%
Draw
32.8%
Athletico Paranaense
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 30% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 29.2% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.65)
    2.85
    (3.09)
    2.71
    (2.65)
    7.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Athletico PR (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético GO: Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lele (Yellow Cards) Luizao (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Joao Cruz (International duty) Teran C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense 0:1
    20.11.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense 2:0
    07.07.2024 Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense 1:2
    09.11.2022 Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias32106:337
    2Avai32103:037
    3Operario-PR32103:127
    4Botafogo SP32017:346
    5Nautico32013:216
    6Ceara31204:225
    7Vila Nova FC31205:415
    8Athletic Club31204:315
    9Sport Recife31203:215
    10Londrina31116:514
    11Sao Bernardo31114:404
    12Criciuma31112:204
    13Fortaleza31112:5-34
    14CRB30213:4-12
    15Novorizontino30212:4-22
    16Cuiaba30210:2-22
    17Ponte Preta30122:4-21
    18America MG30123:6-31
    19Juventude30121:4-31
    20Atletico GO30032:5-30

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )