Atlético Goianiense vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia).

Serie B Superbet - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.64	0.61
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
80% (246/308)	86% (401/468)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
3.25	0.15
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
13	21
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	8
Passes
80% (246/308)	86% (401/468)
Long passes
42% (24/57)	49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
48% (41/85)	57% (51/90)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.47
Throw-ins
17	21
Fouls
8	11
Tackles
33% (3/9)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
34	38
Clearances
30	18
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.15	3.25
Goals prevented
0.15	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Maranhao ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
30', Maranhao 🟥,
41', Leo 🟥,
45+3', Fernando 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Guilherme Romao ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mendoza S. ↓, Leozinho ↑,
59', Robert Conceicao ↓, Talisson ↑,
61', Patrick ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
61', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Adriano Martins ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
69', Luiz Fernando ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
69', Viveros K. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
72', Vitor P. 🟨,
76', Jean Dias ↓, Valdir Junior ↑,
77', Martinez F. ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
85', Kauan Rodrigues ↓, Castro ↑,
85', Yuri Alves ↓, Kelvin ↑,

Chances of winning

Atlético Goianiense
33%

Draw
32.8%

Athletico Paranaense
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.65)	2.85 ↓ (3.09)	2.71 ↑ (2.65)	7.5% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Atlético GO: Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lele (Yellow Cards) Luizao (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Joao Cruz (International duty) Teran C. (Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Athletico Paranaense?

Atlético Goianiense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Atlético Goianiense?

Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:

08.06.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense 0:1

20.11.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense 2:0

07.07.2024 Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense 1:2

09.11.2022 Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense 1:1

Latest results of Atlético Goianiense

30.09.2025 Goiás - Atlético Goianiense 0:0 ✺

25.09.2025 Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Remo - Atlético Goianiense 0:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Avaí 2:1 ✺

08.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

27.09.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Athletic Club - Athletico Paranaense 0:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova 2:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense 2:3 ✺

10.09.2025 Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense 2:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	32	16	8	8	34:21	13	56
2	Novorizontino	33	14	12	7	36:27	9	54
3	Criciuma	32	15	8	9	42:29	13	53
4	Goias	32	14	10	8	36:29	7	52
5	Chapecoense-SC	32	15	6	11	44:31	13	51
6	Remo	32	13	12	7	39:31	8	51
7	Athletico-PR	32	14	7	11	45:42	3	49
8	Cuiaba	32	13	10	9	38:35	3	49
9	CRB	32	14	5	13	38:33	5	47
10	Atletico GO	32	11	12	9	35:33	2	45
11	Avai	32	11	11	10	40:34	6	44
12	Vila Nova FC	32	11	10	11	32:33	-1	43
13	Operario-PR	32	10	9	13	32:36	-4	39
14	America MG	32	10	7	15	34:39	-5	37
15	Athletic Club	32	10	7	15	37:44	-7	37
16	Ferroviaria	32	8	13	11	36:42	-6	37
17	Volta Redonda	32	8	10	14	22:34	-12	34
18	Botafogo SP	32	8	9	15	27:47	-20	33
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	32	5	11	16	28:40	-12	26

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )