Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlético La Paz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz
10/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Alebrijes de Oaxaca
37.2%
Draw
24.7%
Atlético La Paz
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 25.2% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 25% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.61)
    3.73
    (3.72)
    2.42
    (2.41)
    8.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Atlético La Paz (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.
    • Alebrijes de Oaxaca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético La Paz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz 2:2
    18.10.2024 Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2:1
    20.04.2024 Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3:2
    22.03.2024 Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2:1
    19.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz 2:2
    Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
    Latest results of Atlético La Paz
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun971117:41322
    2Tampico Madero862014:8620
    3Atlante961221:81319
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos1045119:11817
    5Irapuato952217:11617
    6Leones Negros933314:12212
    7Atletico La Paz933319:18112
    8Tlaxcala1033411:19-812
    9Tapatio1032513:12111
    10Venados932422:24-211
    11Atl. Morelia932413:18-511
    12Zacatecas Mineros824214:14010
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca921611:19-87
    14Correcaminos1013614:27-136
    15Dorados de Sinaloa101096:20-143

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)