Result
4:0
20/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 14', Alvarez K. ↓, Ayala D. ↑,
- 40', Barreda I. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Alaffita Garcia E. J. ⚽,
- 45+3', Bustos J. 🟨,
- 45+7', Cortes J. 🟨,
- 45+8', 2 - 0, Barragan M. ⚽,
- 45+10', 3 - 0, Alvarez D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bustos J. ↓, Meza S. ↑,
- 46', Mascorro H. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
- 61', Hernandez A. 🟨,
- 71', Illescas F. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 71', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Yanez J. ↑,
- 71', Millan O. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 71', Hernandez A. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
- 71', Barreda I. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
- 73', Robles A. 🟨,
- 82', 4 - 0, Robles A. ⚽,
- 85', Alvarez D. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
- 85', Barragan M. ↓, Ferrer J. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético La Paz
61% | Draw
21.7% | Alebrijes de Oaxaca
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.6) |
4.28 ↓
(4.29) |
5.35 ↑
(4.72) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alebrijes de Oaxaca: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (3.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (3.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (4.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Atlético La Paz is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Atlético La Paz has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Atlético La Paz?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
10.10.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Atlético La Paz
1:1
04.04.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Atlético La Paz
2:2
18.10.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
20.04.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:2
22.03.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
