Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlético La Paz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz
Result
2:2
04/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Villa R. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 2, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
94
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
166
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Zurita Jimenez U. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Bustos J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Zurita Jimenez U. , Yanez J. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Ballesteros O. ,
  • 57', Renteria R. , Galindo A. ,
  • 57', Hernandez D. , Ferrer J. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Galindo A. ,
  • 62', Zamudio J. 🟨,
  • 69', Rojas D. , Riestra M. ,
  • 69', Bustos J. , Morales F. ,
  • 70', Ballesteros O. 🟨,
  • 73', Gomez Del Rosal N. , Arana J. ,
  • 73', Zamudio J. , Del Aguila Y. ,
  • 75', Torres H. 🟨,
  • 78', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
  • 81', Arellano A. 🟨,
  • 85', Mascorro H. , Mayo Canul M. A. ,
  • 85', Arellano A. , Levin J. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Flores R. ,
  • 90+1', Vazquez Hernandez A. , Victorino Muro C. ,

Chances of winning


Alebrijes de Oaxaca
33.2%
Draw
25.7%
Atlético La Paz
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 25.1% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 24.2% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.58)
    3.59
    (3.68)
    2.25
    (2.36)
    8.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.
    • Alebrijes de Oaxaca has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Atlético La Paz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.3:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2:1
    20.04.2024 Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3:2
    22.03.2024 Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2:1
    19.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz 2:2
    24.03.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz 1:2
    Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun651011:01116
    2Tampico Madero64209:5414
    3Tepatitlan de Morelos734012:4813
    4Atl. Morelia632111:10111
    5Irapuato732211:10111
    6Atlante631215:8710
    7Tapatio731311:8310
    8Leones Negros723212:1119
    9Zacatecas Mineros62318:719
    10Atletico La Paz622211:1108
    11Tlaxcala72236:12-68
    12Venados712412:18-65
    13Correcaminos71248:15-75
    14Dorados de Sinaloa71063:13-103
    15Alebrijes Oaxaca60158:16-81

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