Girona vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona).

: LaLiga - Round 38
Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.05	2.92
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
2	19
Shots on target
1	11
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
1	8
Passes
86% (356/414)	90% (496/554)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.05	2.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.03	3.68
Total shots
2	19
Shots on target
1	11
Shots off target
1	1
Blocked Shots
0	7
Shots inside the Box
1	12
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
1	8
Touches in opposition box
9	42
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
86% (356/414)	90% (496/554)
Long passes
65% (32/49)	62% (18/29)
Passes in final third
74% (77/104)	77% (135/175)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.38	2.37
Throw-ins
13	16
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
64% (9/14)	48% (10/21)
Duels won
33	42
Clearances
29	16
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
4	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	1
xGOT faced
3.68	0.03
Goals prevented
-0.32	0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Simeone D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
62', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
62', Molina N. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
64', Portu ↓, Martin I. ↑,
64', Frances A. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Sorloth A. ⚽, de Paul R. (A),
70', Koke ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
70', Lino S. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
73', Herrera Y. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
73', Arthur Melo ↓, Romeu O. ↑,
78', de Paul R. ↓, Barrios P. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Lenglet C. ⚽,
89', Stuani C. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Sorloth A. ⚽, Gallagher C. (A),
90+3', 0 - 4, Sorloth A. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),

Chances of winning

Girona
29.5%

Draw
26.9%

Atlético Madrid
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.8%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

24.8%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Girona's performance.

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Girona - Atlético Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (4.81)	3.57 ↓ (3.92)	2.21 ↑ (1.77)	4.2% (3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Girona - Atlético Madrid?

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Atlético will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 58.8% – 89.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Girona (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlético (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Atlético is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1.
In recent matches, Girona has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlético could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Gil B. (Knee Injury) van de Beek D. (Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Girona: Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury) Miovski B. (Health problems) Misehouy G. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético: Oblak J. (Health problems)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Girona won against Atlético Madrid?

Girona has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Girona?

Atlético Madrid has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Girona - Atlético Madrid were as follows:

25.08.2024 Atlético Madrid - Girona 3:0

13.04.2024 Atlético Madrid - Girona 3:1

03.01.2024 Girona - Atlético Madrid 4:3

13.03.2023 Girona - Atlético Madrid 0:1

08.10.2022 Atlético Madrid - Girona 2:1

Latest results of Girona

18.05.2025 Real Sociedad - Girona 3:2 ✺

13.05.2025 Valladolid - Girona 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Girona - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

05.05.2025 Girona - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Leganés - Girona 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

18.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Betis 4:1 ✺

15.05.2025 Osasuna - Atlético Madrid 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 0:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Girona - Atlético Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 2, K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online