Valencia vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia).

LaLiga - Round 34
Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DSports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.11	1.79
Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
12	20
Shots on target
0	5
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
1	7
Passes
83% (392/470)	83% (353/424)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.11	1.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	2.21
Total shots
12	20
Shots on target
0	5
Shots off target
7	11
Blocked shots
5	4
Shots inside the box
8	12
Shots outside the box
4	8
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
21	28
Accurate through passes
0	3
Offsides
4	4
Free kicks
12	9
Passes
83% (392/470)	83% (353/424)
Long passes
50% (25/50)	39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
69% (77/111)	72% (71/99)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	1.40
Throw ins
23	20
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
67% (12/18)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
48	52
Clearances
15	17
Interceptions
10	16
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	0
xGOT faced
2.21	0.00
Goals prevented
0.21	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Almada T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Mendoza R. 🟨,
59', Ugrinic F. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
59', Rioja L. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
61', Vargas O. 🟨,
63', Morcillo J. ↓, Cubo M. ↑,
63', Belaid R. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
67', Tarrega C. 🟨,
73', Almada T. ↓, Koke ↑,
73', Mendoza R. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
73', Ramazani L. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
73', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Luque I. ⚽, Vargas O. (A),
82', 0 - 2, Cubo M. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
82', Renzo Saravia ↓, Raba D. ↑,
90+7', Bonar J. ↓, Puric A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Valencia
54.9%

Draw
24.6%

Atlético Madrid
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

23%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valencia - Atlético Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.11)	3.9 ↑ (3.84)	4.69 ↑ (3.11)	3.9% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Valencia - Atlético Madrid?

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Atlético will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 48.2% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.
Recent performances by Valencia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlético has had a series of home games.
In this match, Valencia is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Beltran L. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Rendall T. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Atlético: Alvarez J. (Ankle Injury) Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez N. (Muscle Injury) Simeone G. (Injury) Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:40. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Atlético Madrid?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Valencia?

Atlético Madrid has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Atlético Madrid were as follows:

13.12.2025 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 2:1

22.02.2025 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 0:3

15.09.2024 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 3:0

28.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 2:0

16.09.2023 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 3:0

Latest results of Valencia

25.04.2026 Valencia - Girona 2:1 ✺

21.04.2026 Mallorca - Valencia 1:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Elche - Valencia 1:0 ✺

05.04.2026 Valencia - Celta de Vigo 2:3 ✺

21.03.2026 Sevilla - Valencia 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

29.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Arsenal 1:1 ✺

25.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 3:2 ✺

22.04.2026 Elche - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺

18.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:3 ✺

14.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	34	29	1	4	89:31	58	88
2	Real Madrid ✔	33	23	5	5	68:31	37	74
3	Villarreal ✔	34	21	5	8	64:39	25	68
4	Atl. Madrid	34	19	6	9	58:37	21	63
5	Betis	34	13	14	7	52:41	11	53
6	Celta Vigo	34	12	11	11	48:44	4	47
7	Getafe	34	13	5	16	28:36	-8	44
8	Ath Bilbao	34	13	5	16	40:50	-10	44
9	Real Sociedad	33	11	10	12	52:52	0	43
10	Osasuna	34	11	9	14	40:42	-2	42
11	Rayo Vallecano	34	10	12	12	35:41	-6	42
12	Valencia	34	10	9	15	37:50	-13	39
13	Espanyol	33	10	9	14	37:49	-12	39
14	Elche	34	9	11	14	45:53	-8	38
15	Mallorca	34	10	8	16	42:51	-9	38
16	Girona	34	9	11	14	36:51	-15	38
17	Alaves	34	9	9	16	40:53	-13	36
18	Sevilla	33	9	7	17	40:55	-15	34
19	Levante	34	8	9	17	38:55	-17	33
20	Oviedo	34	6	10	18	26:54	-28	28

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Villarreal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )