Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Atlético Madrid - Villarreal
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 4
  • Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Official Live

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
53.7%
Draw
24.9%
Villarreal
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 27.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 27.6% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Atlético Madrid - Villarreal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.94)
    3.83
    (3.53)
    4.46
    (4.13)
    4.4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 25 - 61%). Villarreal will win (votes: 11 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 46.1%75.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Villarreal (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 2.
    • Atlético has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Villarreal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlético is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Baena A. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Villarreal were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 1:1
    19.08.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2
    01.04.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 1:2
    12.11.2023 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 3:1
    04.06.2023 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Latest results of Villarreal
    31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1
    24.08.2025 Villarreal - Girona 5:0
    15.08.2025 Villarreal - Real Oviedo 2:0
    10.08.2025 Villarreal - Aston Villa 0:2
    06.08.2025 Arsenal - Villarreal 2:3
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid44008:2612
    2Ath Bilbao43016:429
    3Getafe43016:429
    4Villarreal32108:177
    5Barcelona32107:347
    6Espanyol32105:327
    7Alaves42114:317
    8Elche41306:426
    9Betis41214:405
    10Valencia31114:224
    11Rayo Vallecano31114:314
    12Sevilla41127:704
    13Osasuna31021:2-13
    14Celta Vigo40313:5-23
    15R. Oviedo41031:7-63
    16Atl. Madrid30213:4-12
    17Real Sociedad40224:6-22
    18Mallorca30122:6-41
    19Levante30033:7-40
    20Girona30031:10-90

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