Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Football Spanish LaLiga Atlético Madrid - Villarreal
Result
1:1
25/01/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 21
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sport La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Plus
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
worldWorldDirecTV Sports, Disney+, SportsMax App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.542.17
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
2011
Shots on Goal
81
Shots off Goal
88
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
56
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
Free Kicks
1410
Offsides
00
Fouls
1014
Throw-ins
1919
Touches in the Opposition Box
3525
Passes
88% (513/586)81% (325/399)
Passes in the final third
78% (152/194)70% (61/87)
Crosses
25% (5/20)35% (7/20)
Tackles
50% (7/14)48% (10/21)
Clearances Total
1425
Interceptions
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Pino Y. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Moreno G. (Pen),
  • 34', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Simeone G. ↓, Azpilicueta C. ↑,
  • 46', Mandava R. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
  • 46', Gallagher C. ↓, de Paul R. ↑,
  • 53', de Paul R. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Lino S. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
  • 59', Correa A. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
  • 62', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 64', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 68', Moreno G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
  • 68', Pino Y. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
  • 68', Barry T. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
  • 71', Koke ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
  • 76', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
  • 90', Baena A. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
48.4%		Draw
26.9%		Villarreal
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 21.7% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 21.1% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.
  • Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Atlético Madrid - Villarreal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.98 ↑
    (1.54)    		 3.55 ↓
    (4.42)    		 3.88 ↓
    (5.96)    		 4.6%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 45 - 72.6%). Villarreal will win (votes: 10 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 61.5% – 83.7%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 2.
    • Atlético is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Villarreal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Galan J. (Yellow Cards) Lenglet C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Parejo D. (Foot Injury) Pedraza A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético: Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Atlético to win the game is with odds 1.76.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Villarreal were as follows:
    19.08.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2
    01.04.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 1:2
    12.11.2023 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 3:1
    04.06.2023 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    21.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2025 Leganés - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺
    15.01.2025 Elche - Atlético Madrid 0:4 ✺
    12.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
    04.01.2025 Marbella - Atlético Madrid 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Villarreal
    20.01.2025 Villarreal - Mallorca 4:0 ✺
    13.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 1:0 ✺
    22.12.2024 Leganés - Villarreal 2:5 ✺
    18.12.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺
    15.12.2024 Villarreal - Betis 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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