Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 21
Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 5
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, SportsMax App

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.54	2.17
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Goal Attempts
20	11
Shots on Goal
8	1
Shots off Goal
8	8
Blocked Shots
4	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Shots inside the Box
11	11
Shots outside the Box
9	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	7
Free Kicks
14	10
Offsides
0	0
Fouls
10	14
Throw-ins
19	19
Touches in the Opposition Box
35	25
Passes
88% (513/586)	81% (325/399)
Passes in the final third
78% (152/194)	70% (61/87)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	35% (7/20)
Tackles
50% (7/14)	48% (10/21)
Clearances Total
14	25
Interceptions
11	14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Pino Y. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Moreno G. (Pen),
34', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Simeone G. ↓, Azpilicueta C. ↑,
46', Mandava R. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
46', Gallagher C. ↓, de Paul R. ↑,
53', de Paul R. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Lino S. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
59', Correa A. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
62', Le Normand R. 🟨,
64', Alvarez J. 🟨,
68', Moreno G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
68', Pino Y. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
68', Barry T. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
71', Koke ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
76', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
90', Baena A. ↓, Cabanes P. ↑,

Chances of winning

Atlético Madrid
48.4%

Draw
26.9%

Villarreal
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21.1%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Madrid - Villarreal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.54)	3.55 ↓ (4.42)	3.88 ↓ (5.96)	4.6% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Villarreal?

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 45 - 72.6%). Villarreal will win (votes: 10 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 61.5% – 83.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 2.
Atlético is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Villarreal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Atlético is a favorite.
There will not play in Atlético: Galan J. (Yellow Cards) Lenglet C. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Parejo D. (Foot Injury) Pedraza A. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético: Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)
Our prediction for today's Atlético to win the game is with odds 1.76.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:22 (average 1.2:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Villarreal?

Atlético Madrid has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Atlético Madrid?

Villarreal has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Villarreal were as follows:

19.08.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2

01.04.2024 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 1:2

12.11.2023 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 3:1

04.06.2023 Villarreal - Atlético Madrid 2:2

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

21.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Leganés - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺

15.01.2025 Elche - Atlético Madrid 0:4 ✺

12.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

04.01.2025 Marbella - Atlético Madrid 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Villarreal

20.01.2025 Villarreal - Mallorca 4:0 ✺

13.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 1:0 ✺

22.12.2024 Leganés - Villarreal 2:5 ✺

18.12.2024 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺

15.12.2024 Villarreal - Betis 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Betis	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
2	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
3	Rayo Vallecano	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
5	Getafe	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
7	Espanyol	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
9	Alaves	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
10	Real Sociedad	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Elche	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
12	Valencia	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
13	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
14	Atl. Madrid	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
15	Levante	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
18	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
19	R. Oviedo	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
20	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2