Real Oviedo vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo).

LaLiga - Round 33
Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.87	1.32
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
7	0
Passes
87% (476/546)	82% (336/408)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.87	1.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.77	1.36
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked shots
4	1
Shots inside the box
11	5
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
7	0
Touches in opposition box
25	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
11	9
Passes
87% (476/546)	82% (336/408)
Long passes
36% (17/47)	53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
70% (92/132)	67% (46/69)
Crosses
21% (8/39)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.78
Throw ins
23	23
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
62% (13/21)	75% (15/20)
Duels won
53	48
Clearances
16	34
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.36	0.77
Goals prevented
0.36	-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Pepe N. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Escandell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Buchanan T. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
62', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Chaira I. ⚽,
71', Fernandez T. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
72', Sibo K. ↓, Ejaria O. ↑,
72', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
78', Parejo D. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
78', Mourino S. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
90+1', Lopez J. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
90+1', Chaira I. ↓, Agudin P. ↑,
90+7', Moleiro A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Real Oviedo
27.9%

Draw
28.4%

Villarreal
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.2%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Oviedo - Villarreal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.86)	3.39 ↓ (3.63)	2.17 ↑ (1.93)	4.6% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Villarreal?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Oviedo (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (47 of 57 users predict this - 82.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.59% – 92.33%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 2 - 50%). Villarreal (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Villarreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Oviedo won against Villarreal?

Real Oviedo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Real Oviedo?

Villarreal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Villarreal were as follows:

15.08.2025 Villarreal - Real Oviedo 2:0

Latest results of Real Oviedo

12.04.2026 Celta de Vigo - Real Oviedo 0:3 ✺

05.04.2026 Real Oviedo - Sevilla 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Levante - Real Oviedo 4:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Real Oviedo - Valencia 1:0 ✺

09.03.2026 Espanyol - Real Oviedo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Villarreal

12.04.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 1:2 ✺

06.04.2026 Girona - Villarreal 1:0 ✺

20.03.2026 Villarreal - Real Sociedad 3:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal 1:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Villarreal - Elche 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	33	28	1	4	87:30	57	85
2	Real Madrid ✔	33	23	5	5	68:31	37	74
3	Villarreal	33	20	5	8	59:38	21	65
4	Atl. Madrid	33	18	6	9	56:37	19	60
5	Betis	33	12	14	7	49:41	8	50
6	Getafe	33	13	5	15	28:34	-6	44
7	Celta Vigo	33	11	11	11	45:43	2	44
8	Real Sociedad	33	11	10	12	52:52	0	43
9	Osasuna	33	11	9	13	39:40	-1	42
10	Ath Bilbao	33	12	5	16	36:48	-12	41
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	9	12	12	33:41	-8	39
12	Valencia	33	10	9	14	37:48	-11	39
13	Espanyol	33	10	9	14	37:49	-12	39
14	Elche	33	9	11	13	44:50	-6	38
15	Girona	33	9	11	13	36:50	-14	38
16	Alaves	33	9	9	15	38:49	-11	36
17	Mallorca	33	9	8	16	41:51	-10	35
18	Sevilla	33	9	7	17	40:55	-15	34
19	Levante	33	8	9	16	37:50	-13	33
20	Oviedo	33	6	10	17	26:51	-25	28

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )