Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | SporTV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.56 | 0.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
79% (295/372) | 82% (344/419) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.56 | 0.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.41 | 0.20 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
79% (295/372) | 82% (344/419) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (23/52) | 36% (16/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (104/140) | 75% (78/104) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (6/14) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.51 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (13/22) | 48% (13/27) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 64 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.20 | 0.41 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.80 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Willian Jose 🟨,
- 15', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
- 20', Gustavo Scarpa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Cuello ↑,
- 46', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Luciano Juba ⚽,
- 62', Gabriel Menino ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 62', Dudu ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 81', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 84', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 85', Alonso J. ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 90', Erick Pulga ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 90', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 90', Natanael ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Hulk ⚽,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Michel Araujo ⚽, Cauly (A),
- 90+9', Michel Araujo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia 41.4% | Draw 31.6% | Atlético Mineiro 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Bahia - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.3 ↓ (2.37) |
3.02 ↑ (2.98) |
3.52 ↑ (3.46) |
5.1% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 38.5% – 81.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of home games.
- Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bahia: Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Hamstring Injury)
Everson
(Yellow Cards)
Palacios Alzate B.
(Inactive)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Rony
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Rezende
(Back Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Atlético Mineiro?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Bahia?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
15.09.2024
Bahia
-
Atlético Mineiro
3:0
02.06.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Bahia
1:1
06.12.2023
Bahia
-
Atlético Mineiro
4:1
13.08.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Bahia
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet