Result
3:0
05/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (443/492) | 84% (275/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (443/492) | 84% (275/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (23/32) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (162/196) | 77% (72/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Bernard 🟨,
- 41', Ronaldo Strada 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 52', Kanu 🟥,
- 52', Tiago 🟨,
- 55', Michel Araujo ↓, Erick ↑,
- 55', Ademir ↓, Erick Pulga ↑,
- 55', Cauly ↓, Rezende ↑,
- 62', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Hulk ⚽,
- 70', Tiago ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 70', Bernard ↓, Biel ↑,
- 71', Jean Lucas ↓, Iago Borduchi ↑,
- 75', Alexsander ↓, Natanael ↑,
- 75', Dudu ↓, Rony ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Igor Gomes ⚽,
- 77', 3 - 0, Biel ⚽, Rony (A),
- 83', Ruan Tressoldi ↓, Roman I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
43.4% | Draw
29.2% | Bahia
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Atlético Mineiro - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.15) |
3.25 ↓
(3.32) |
3.47 ↑
(3.44) |
5.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Mineiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Atlético MG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Junior Santos
(Hip Injury)
Lyanco
(Injury)
Vitor Hugo
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Bahia: Caio Alexandre
(Hamstring Injury)
Gilberto
(Injury)
Ramos S.
(Yellow Cards)
Ruan Pablo
(International duty)
Sanabria M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Kayky
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Bahia?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Atlético Mineiro?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Bahia were as follows:
12.07.2025
Bahia
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
15.09.2024
Bahia
-
Atlético Mineiro
3:0
02.06.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Bahia
1:1
06.12.2023
Bahia
-
Atlético Mineiro
4:1
13.08.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Bahia
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
