Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (462/522) | 90% (406/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (462/522) | 90% (406/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 54% (19/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (116/152) | 83% (122/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 100% (14/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.04 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Franco A. ⚽, Dudu (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Biel ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 64', Caio Paulista ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
- 64', Dudu ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 71', Gustavo Scarpa 🟨,
- 73', Richardson ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 73', Fernandinho ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 77', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Rony ↑,
- 79', Pedro Raul ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 84', Hulk ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 84', Rony 🟨,
- 89', Galeano A. ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 89', Matheus Bahia ↓, Nicolas ↑,
- 90+2', Alonso J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
50.7% | Draw
28% | Ceará
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Atlético Mineiro - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.81) |
3.38 ↓
(3.53) |
4.51 ↑
(4.49) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Ceará will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 32.6% – 78.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Ceará (2.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Ceará (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ceará will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceará (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético MG is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Fausto Vera
(Yellow Cards)
Junior Santos
(Hip Injury)
Lyanco
(Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
- There will not play in Ceará: Diego
(Injury)
Lourenco
(Yellow Cards)
Marcos Victor
(Inactive)
Pedro Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Ceará?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Atlético Mineiro?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Ceará were as follows:
01.06.2025
Ceará
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:1
09.10.2022
Atlético Mineiro
-
Ceará
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
