Result
0:1
01/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
77% (273/354) | 79% (343/432) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.48 | 0.55 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
77% (273/354) | 79% (343/432) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (26/58) | 36% (19/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (61/106) | 62% (45/73) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (6/29) | 15% (3/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.77 | 0.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 47% (8/17) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 59 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.55 | 0.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.45 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Diego 🟨,
- 44', Franco A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vitor Hugo ↓, Hulk ↑,
- 50', Lyanco 🟨,
- 66', Igor Gomes ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 66', Natanael ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
- 73', Pedro Henrique ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 73', Pedro Raul ↓, Lele ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Rony ⚽,
- 82', Fernando Sobral ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
- 83', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 87', Galeano A. ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 87', Lucas Mugni ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 90', Patrick Silva ↓, Igor Rabello ↑,
- 90+3', Lyanco 🟨,
- 90+6', Everson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ceará 33% | Draw 32.1% | Atlético Mineiro 35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Ceará - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.87 ↓ (2.88) |
2.95 ↓ (3.25) |
2.7 ↑ (2.4) |
5.7% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ceará - Atlético Mineiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
- In recent matches, Ceará has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético MG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Hamstring Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Hamstring Injury)
Lyanco
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Shoulder Injury)
Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Atlético Mineiro?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Ceará?
Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
09.10.2022
Atlético Mineiro
-
Ceará
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet