Result
3:2
08/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | ESPN 5 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (139/215) | 87% (549/633) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (139/215) | 87% (549/633) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (17/60) | 67% (32/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (32/55) | 75% (161/215) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Rubens ⚽, Igor Gomes (A),
- 15', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
- 27', Igor Gomes 🟨,
- 33', Javier Parraguez ↓, Orellana D. ↑,
- 34', 1 - 1, Ramos A. ⚽, Orellana D. (A),
- 45+2', Jorquera M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Igor Gomes ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
- 46', Palacios Alzate B. ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 46', Fuentes C. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
- 46', Hoyos E. ↓, Puch E. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 1, Ramos A. ⚽,
- 58', Rubens 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 1, Orellana D. ⚽, Jorquera M. (A),
- 62', Renzo Saravia ↓, Natanael ↑,
- 62', Caio Paulista ↓, Cuello ↑,
- 76', Ramos A. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Bernard ⚽, Junior Santos (A),
- 90+2', Fernandez C. D. N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Soto B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Jorquera M. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportes Iquique
16.5% | Draw
23.1% | Atlético Mineiro
60.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Deportes Iquique - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.67 ↑
(5.57) |
4.07 ↑
(3.9) |
1.56 ↓
(1.58) |
6.3%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes Iquique - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 71.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Deportes Iquique have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético MG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Atlético MG is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Iquique won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Atlético Mineiro?
Deportes Iquique has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Deportes Iquique?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Iquique - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
10.04.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Deportes Iquique
4:0
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
