Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Rede Globo, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (386/457) | 81% (317/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (386/457) | 81% (317/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (12/40) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (89/120) | 58% (45/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.26 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
- 45+1', Rubens 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 52', Cuello 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Canobbio A. ⚽,
- 58', Fausto Vera ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 67', Nonato 🟨,
- 70', Natanael ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 72', Nonato ↓, Hercules ↑,
- 72', Everaldo ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Rubens ⚽, Alonso J. (A),
- 79', Rony ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Junior Santos ⚽,
- 86', Bernal F. ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
- 86', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Serna K. ⚽, Martinelli (A),
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Igor Gomes ⚽, Hulk (A),
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
48.9% | Draw
29.3% | Fluminense
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Atlético Mineiro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1%)
Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.94) |
3.25 ↓
(3.4) |
4.32 ↑
(4.07) |
5.3%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Fluminense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Inactive)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Gabriel Menino
(Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Thigh Injury)
Lyanco
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Dudu
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Fluminense?
Atlético Mineiro has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Atlético Mineiro?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense were as follows:
25.09.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
2:0
18.09.2024
Fluminense
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
24.08.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
0:2
04.05.2024
Fluminense
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:2
28.10.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
2:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Gremio | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 24 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
