Result
21/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Fluminense
50.4% | Draw
27.5% | Atlético Mineiro
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fluminense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88
(1.88) |
3.42 ↓
(3.47) |
4.2 ↓
(4.26) |
6.3%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Atlético Mineiro?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Fluminense?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
04.10.2025
Fluminense
-
Atlético Mineiro
3:0
11.05.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
3:2
25.09.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
2:0
18.09.2024
Fluminense
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
24.08.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
0:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Bahia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Flamengo RJ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Gremio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletico-PR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Chapecoense-SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Vasco | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Remo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 20 | Internacional | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
