Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
 Colombia | Win Sports |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (394/466) | 78% (281/362) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (394/466) | 78% (281/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/127) | 70% (63/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.48 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 25', Roman I. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),
- 33', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
- 35', Hulk 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Alonso J. 🟨,
- 59', Roman I. ↓, Cuello ↑,
- 59', Igor Gomes ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
- 68', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
- 68', Victor Hugo ↓, Minda A. ↑,
- 68', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 69', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 81', Martinelli 🟨,
- 87', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 87', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 87', Savarino J. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 87', Hercules ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 89', Preciado A. ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 89', Jemmes 🟨,
- 89', Franco A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
56.9% | Draw
26.7% | Atlético Mineiro
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.88) |
3.53 ↑
(3.47) |
5.74 ↑
(4.26) |
5.7%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F.
(Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Inactive)
Nonato
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cisse M.
(Leg Injury)
Maycon
(Calf Injury)
Vitor Hugo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Acosta L.
(Injury)
Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
John Kennedy
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Atlético Mineiro?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Fluminense?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
04.10.2025
Fluminense
-
Atlético Mineiro
3:0
11.05.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
3:2
25.09.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
2:0
18.09.2024
Fluminense
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
24.08.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
0:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
