Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (402/453) | 91% (526/579) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.48 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (402/453) | 91% (526/579) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 78% (31/40) | 62% (26/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (81/108) | 71% (71/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 3.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Samuel Xavier ⚽,
- 44', John Kennedy 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Igor Gomes ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 46', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 48', Franco A. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Serna K. ⚽, John Kennedy (A),
- 61', Roman I. 🟨,
- 62', Roman I. ↓, Biel ↑,
- 63', Rony ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 68', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
- 75', Hulk ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 81', John Kennedy ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 81', Acosta L. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 87', Caio Paulista 🟨,
- 88', Serna K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Keno ⚽, Lima (A),
- 90+1', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 90+3', Canobbio A. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
46.7% | Draw
30.4% | Atlético Mineiro
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fluminense's form might have worsened.Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.81) |
3.11 ↓
(3.52) |
4.19 ↓
(4.63) |
5.2%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Lyanco
(Yellow Cards)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Nonato
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Junior Santos
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Atlético Mineiro?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Fluminense?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
11.05.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
3:2
25.09.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
2:0
18.09.2024
Fluminense
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
24.08.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fluminense
0:2
04.05.2024
Fluminense
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 58 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 50:13 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40:20 | 20 | 52 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ceara | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Vasco | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
| 15 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25:38 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
