Atlético Mineiro vs Juventude – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte).

Serie A Betano - Round 26
Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	0.24
Ball Possession
71%	29%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
87% (548/631)	68% (176/259)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.31	0.17
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
14	8
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
16	12
Passes
87% (548/631)	68% (176/259)
Long passes
60% (31/52)	28% (16/57)
Passes in final third
79% (134/169)	48% (26/54)
Crosses
9% (2/22)	50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.73	0.19
Throw-ins
21	22
Fouls
12	16
Tackles
44% (4/9)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
52	41
Clearances
10	25
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.17	0.31
Goals prevented
0.17	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Jadson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Gilberto ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
56', Enio ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
58', Franco A. 🟨,
59', Biel ↓, Reinier ↑,
68', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
73', Roman I. 🟨,
75', Igor Gomes ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
75', Roman I. ↓, Natanael ↑,
77', Peixoto ↓, Rodrigo Sam ↑,
77', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
79', Bernard ↓, Dudu ↑,
81', Jandrei 🟨,
88', Marcelo Hermes ↓, Alan Ruschel ↑,
90+1', Lyanco 🟨,
90+2', Alan Ruschel 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atlético Mineiro
59%

Draw
25.4%

Juventude
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.8%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

20.1%

13.9%

Atlético Mineiro - Juventude Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)	3.76 ↓ (4.5)	6.14 ↓ (6.5)	4.8% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Juventude?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 77.8% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
Recent performances by Atlético MG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Juventude's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander (Injury) Alonso J. (Red Card) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Cuello (Ankle Injury) Everson (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Arana (Yellow Cards) Hulk (Yellow Cards) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Renzo Saravia (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Juventude: Abner (Muscle Injury) Angel W. (Thigh Injury) Caique Goncalves (Yellow Cards) Gabriel Taliari (Yellow Cards) Nata (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano (Leg Injury) Emerson Galego (Ankle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Juventude?

Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Atlético Mineiro?

Juventude has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Juventude were as follows:

05.05.2025 Juventude - Atlético Mineiro 0:1

26.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Juventude 2:3

16.07.2024 Juventude - Atlético Mineiro 1:1

27.10.2022 Atlético Mineiro - Juventude 1:0

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

27.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Bolívar 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Bolívar - Atlético Mineiro 2:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Juventude

27.09.2025 Juventude - Internacional RS 1:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Juventude - Flamengo 0:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Juventude - Botafogo RJ 1:3 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet