Result
0:1
05/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 1.28 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 26 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
73% (251/343) | 83% (350/424) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 1.28 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.07 | 0.46 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 26 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 15 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 20 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 37 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
73% (251/343) | 83% (350/424) |
Long passes |
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35% (17/48) | 51% (42/83) |
Passes in final third |
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43% (39/91) | 75% (106/142) |
Crosses |
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21% (4/19) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.44 | 1.01 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (12/17) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 46 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 17 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.46 | 1.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.46 | 1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Marcos Paulo (Own goal),
- 45+7', Gilberto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jean Carlos ↓, Batalla E. ↑,
- 46', Giraldo D. ↓, Nene ↑,
- 68', Gilberto ↓, Gabriel Taliari ↑,
- 68', Mandaca ↓, Caique Goncalves ↑,
- 83', Igor Gomes ↓, Palacios Alzate B. ↑,
- 85', Jadson 🟨,
- 89', Alan Ruschel ↓, Giovanny ↑,
- 90', Rony ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 90+1', Alonso J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ewerthon 🟨,
- 90+4', Caio Paulista ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
- 90+5', Cuello ↓, Bernard ↑,
Chances of winning
Juventude 28.3% | Draw 29.8% | Atlético Mineiro 41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Juventude - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.35 ↓ (3.52) |
3.18 ↓ (3.37) |
2.27 ↑ (2.1) |
5.4% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juventude - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.
- Juventude has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético MG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Cipriano
(Hamstring Injury)
Peixoto
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Inactive)
Gabriel Menino
(Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Thigh Injury)
Hulk
(Yellow Cards)
Junior Santos
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Gabriel Taliari
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Atlético Mineiro?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Juventude?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
26.11.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Juventude
2:3
16.07.2024
Juventude
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
27.10.2022
Atlético Mineiro
-
Juventude
1:0
Latest results of Juventude
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet