Atlético Mineiro vs Juventude – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Atlético Mineiro - Juventude
Result
0:0
30/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.24
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
87% (548/631)68% (176/259)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.310.17
Total shots
136
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
148
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
87% (548/631)68% (176/259)
Long passes
60% (31/52)28% (16/57)
Passes in final third
79% (134/169)48% (26/54)
Crosses
9% (2/22)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.19
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1216
Tackles
44% (4/9)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
1025
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.170.31
Goals prevented
0.170.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Jadson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Gilberto , Matheus Babi ,
  • 56', Enio , Sforza J. ,
  • 58', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 59', Biel , Reinier ,
  • 68', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
  • 73', Roman I. 🟨,
  • 75', Igor Gomes , Gabriel Menino ,
  • 75', Roman I. , Natanael ,
  • 77', Peixoto , Rodrigo Sam ,
  • 77', Lucas Fernandes , Rafael Bilu ,
  • 79', Bernard , Dudu ,
  • 81', Jandrei 🟨,
  • 88', Marcelo Hermes , Alan Ruschel ,
  • 90+1', Lyanco 🟨,
  • 90+2', Alan Ruschel 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
59%
Draw
25.4%
Juventude
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 20.8% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 20.1% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.
  • Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Juventude Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.44)
    3.76
    (4.5)
    6.14
    (6.5)
    4.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Juventude?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 77.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
    • Recent performances by Atlético MG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Juventude's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander (Injury) Alonso J. (Red Card) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Cuello (Ankle Injury) Everson (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Arana (Yellow Cards) Hulk (Yellow Cards) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Renzo Saravia (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Juventude: Abner (Muscle Injury) Angel W. (Thigh Injury) Caique Goncalves (Yellow Cards) Gabriel Taliari (Yellow Cards) Nata (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano (Leg Injury) Emerson Galego (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Juventude were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Juventude - Atlético Mineiro 0:1
    26.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Juventude 2:3
    16.07.2024 Juventude - Atlético Mineiro 1:1
    27.10.2022 Atlético Mineiro - Juventude 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of Juventude
    21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0
    14.09.2025 Juventude - Flamengo 0:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    24.08.2025 Juventude - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet