Result
0:0
30/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (548/631) | 68% (176/259) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (548/631) | 68% (176/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (31/52) | 28% (16/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (134/169) | 48% (26/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Jadson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Gilberto ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 56', Enio ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
- 58', Franco A. 🟨,
- 59', Biel ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 68', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
- 73', Roman I. 🟨,
- 75', Igor Gomes ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 75', Roman I. ↓, Natanael ↑,
- 77', Peixoto ↓, Rodrigo Sam ↑,
- 77', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
- 79', Bernard ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 81', Jandrei 🟨,
- 88', Marcelo Hermes ↓, Alan Ruschel ↑,
- 90+1', Lyanco 🟨,
- 90+2', Alan Ruschel 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
59% | Draw
25.4% | Juventude
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Atlético Mineiro - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.44) |
3.76 ↓
(4.5) |
6.14 ↓
(6.5) |
4.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Juventude?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
- Recent performances by Atlético MG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juventude's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Injury)
Alonso J.
(Red Card)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Everson
(Yellow Cards)
Guilherme Arana
(Yellow Cards)
Hulk
(Yellow Cards)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Renzo Saravia
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Juventude: Abner
(Muscle Injury)
Angel W.
(Thigh Injury)
Caique Goncalves
(Yellow Cards)
Gabriel Taliari
(Yellow Cards)
Nata
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano
(Leg Injury)
Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Juventude?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Atlético Mineiro?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Juventude were as follows:
05.05.2025
Juventude
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:1
26.11.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Juventude
2:3
16.07.2024
Juventude
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
27.10.2022
Atlético Mineiro
-
Juventude
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
