Atlético Mineiro vs Juventude – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Atlético Mineiro - Juventude
Result
0:0
30/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.24
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
87% (548/631)68% (176/259)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.310.17
Total shots
136
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
148
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
87% (548/631)68% (176/259)
Long passes
60% (31/52)28% (16/57)
Passes in final third
79% (134/169)48% (26/54)
Crosses
9% (2/22)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.19
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1216
Tackles
44% (4/9)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
1025
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.170.31
Goals prevented
0.170.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Jadson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Gilberto , Matheus Babi ,
  • 56', Enio , Sforza J. ,
  • 58', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 59', Biel , Reinier ,
  • 68', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
  • 73', Roman I. 🟨,
  • 75', Igor Gomes , Gabriel Menino ,
  • 75', Roman I. , Natanael ,
  • 77', Peixoto , Rodrigo Sam ,
  • 77', Lucas Fernandes , Rafael Bilu ,
  • 79', Bernard , Dudu ,
  • 81', Jandrei 🟨,
  • 88', Marcelo Hermes , Alan Ruschel ,
  • 90+1', Lyanco 🟨,
  • 90+2', Alan Ruschel 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
59%
Draw
25.4%
Juventude
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 20.8% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 20.1% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.
  • Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Juventude Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.44)
    3.76
    (4.5)
    6.14
    (6.5)
    4.8%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Juventude?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 77.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
    • Recent performances by Atlético MG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Juventude's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander (Injury) Alonso J. (Red Card) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Cuello (Ankle Injury) Everson (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Arana (Yellow Cards) Hulk (Yellow Cards) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Renzo Saravia (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Juventude: Abner (Muscle Injury) Angel W. (Thigh Injury) Caique Goncalves (Yellow Cards) Gabriel Taliari (Yellow Cards) Nata (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano (Leg Injury) Emerson Galego (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Juventude were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Juventude - Atlético Mineiro 0:1
    26.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Juventude 2:3
    16.07.2024 Juventude - Atlético Mineiro 1:1
    27.10.2022 Atlético Mineiro - Juventude 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of Juventude
    21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0
    14.09.2025 Juventude - Flamengo 0:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    24.08.2025 Juventude - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol261110542:281443
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Corinthians27891029:32-333
    11Gremio27891028:33-533
    12Internacional26881032:38-632
    13Ceara25871023:24-131
    14Vasco26861238:38030
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet