Result
0:1
05/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (251/343) | 83% (350/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (251/343) | 83% (350/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/48) | 51% (42/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (39/91) | 75% (106/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Marcos Paulo (Own goal),
- 45+7', Gilberto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jean Carlos ↓, Batalla E. ↑,
- 46', Giraldo D. ↓, Nene ↑,
- 68', Gilberto ↓, Gabriel Taliari ↑,
- 68', Mandaca ↓, Caique Goncalves ↑,
- 83', Igor Gomes ↓, Palacios Alzate B. ↑,
- 85', Jadson 🟨,
- 89', Alan Ruschel ↓, Giovanny ↑,
- 90', Rony ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 90+1', Alonso J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ewerthon 🟨,
- 90+4', Caio Paulista ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
- 90+5', Cuello ↓, Bernard ↑,
Chances of winning
Juventude
28.3% | Draw
29.8% | Atlético Mineiro
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Juventude - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↓
(3.52) |
3.18 ↓
(3.37) |
2.27 ↑
(2.1) |
5.4%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juventude - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0, 1st Half - Atlético MG (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.
- Juventude has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético MG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Cipriano
(Hamstring Injury)
Peixoto
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Inactive)
Gabriel Menino
(Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Thigh Injury)
Hulk
(Yellow Cards)
Junior Santos
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Gabriel Taliari
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Atlético Mineiro?
Juventude has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Juventude?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
26.11.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Juventude
2:3
16.07.2024
Juventude
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
27.10.2022
Atlético Mineiro
-
Juventude
1:0
Latest results of Juventude
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 36:20 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Fluminense | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Internacional | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
