Juventude vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Juventude - Atlético Mineiro
Result
0:1
05/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.28
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1326
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
73% (251/343)83% (350/424)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.46
Total shots
1326
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
315
Shots inside the Box
620
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1737
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
73% (251/343)83% (350/424)
Long passes
35% (17/48)51% (42/83)
Passes in final third
43% (39/91)75% (106/142)
Crosses
21% (4/19)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.01
Throw-ins
2715
Fouls
1216
Tackles
71% (12/17)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5753
Clearances
2246
Interceptions
717
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
66
xGOT faced
0.461.07
Goals prevented
0.461.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Marcos Paulo (Own goal),
  • 45+7', Gilberto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jean Carlos , Batalla E. ,
  • 46', Giraldo D. , Nene ,
  • 68', Gilberto , Gabriel Taliari ,
  • 68', Mandaca , Caique Goncalves ,
  • 83', Igor Gomes , Palacios Alzate B. ,
  • 85', Jadson 🟨,
  • 89', Alan Ruschel , Giovanny ,
  • 90', Rony , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 90+1', Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ewerthon 🟨,
  • 90+4', Caio Paulista , Vitor Hugo ,
  • 90+5', Cuello , Bernard ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Juventude
28.3%
Draw
29.8%
Atlético Mineiro
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 28.1% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 28.1% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Juventude - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.52)
    3.18
    (3.37)
    2.27
    (2.1)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Juventude - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.
    • Juventude has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético MG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves (Knee Injury) Cipriano (Hamstring Injury) Peixoto (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Inactive) Gabriel Menino (Injury) Guilherme Arana (Thigh Injury) Hulk (Yellow Cards) Junior Santos (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventude: Gabriel Taliari (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Juventude 2:3
    16.07.2024 Juventude - Atlético Mineiro 1:1
    27.10.2022 Atlético Mineiro - Juventude 1:0
    Latest results of Juventude
    20.04.2025 Juventude - Mirassol 2:2
    16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0
    12.04.2025 Juventude - Ceará 2:1
    05.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Juventude 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1545614:21-717
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1535716:21-514
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet