Result
0:3
03/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 34
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 33 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (393/449) | 74% (176/237) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 2.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 33 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (393/449) | 74% (176/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (20/31) | 35% (17/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (132/162) | 60% (32/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, Allan ⚽,
- 31', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
- 33', Alonso J. ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 34', Raphael Veiga 🟨,
- 45', Piquerez J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Allan ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
- 46', Khellven ↓, Jefte ↑,
- 46', Lopez J. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 64', Renzo Saravia ↓, Hulk ↑,
- 65', Carlos Miguel 🟨,
- 74', Martinez E. ↓, Benedetti ↑,
- 81', Vitor Roque ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Luighi ⚽, Jefte (A),
- 88', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
28.3% | Draw
30.9% | Palmeiras
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(2.85) |
3.08 ↓
(3.25) |
2.34 ↓
(2.48) |
5.5%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Junior Santos
(Hip Injury)
Lyanco
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Giay A.
(Red Card)
Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Moreno A.
(Yellow Cards)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Torres F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Felipe Anderson
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Palmeiras?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Atlético Mineiro?
Palmeiras has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras were as follows:
20.07.2025
Palmeiras
-
Atlético Mineiro
3:2
28.09.2024
Palmeiras
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
17.06.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Palmeiras
0:4
19.10.2023
Palmeiras
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:2
09.08.2023
Palmeiras
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
