Result
3:2
20/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 15
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 2 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 0.29 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
82% (325/394) | 76% (226/296) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 0.29 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.54 | 1.00 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 0 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 22 |
Passes |
---|
82% (325/394) | 76% (226/296) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (39/65) | 48% (25/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (79/118) | 42% (20/48) |
Crosses |
---|
32% (6/19) | 0% (0/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.36 | 0.04 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
22 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (14/20) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.00 | 2.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.00 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Gabriel Menino 🟨,
- 32', Gabriel Menino ↓, Romulus ↑,
- 33', 1 - 0, Lucas Evangelista ⚽, Piquerez J. (A),
- 35', Lyanco 🟨,
- 41', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Hulk ⚽,
- 44', Romulus 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, Alonso J. (Own goal),
- 58', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 58', Guilherme Arana ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 63', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 66', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
- 70', Igor Gomes ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 70', Natanael ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Mauricio ⚽, Torres F. (A),
- 81', Mauricio ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 82', Vitor Roque ↓, Allan ↑,
- 82', Moreno A. ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 85', Torres F. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Hulk ⚽,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras 55.4% | Draw 27.7% | Atlético Mineiro 16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.75) |
3.42 ↑ (3.35) |
5.53 ↑ (5.33) |
5.9% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
- Palmeiras has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético MG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palmeiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Flaco Lopez
(Yellow Cards)
Murilo
(Thigh Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Fausto Vera
(Stomach Disorder)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Atlético Mineiro?
Palmeiras has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Palmeiras?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
28.09.2024
Palmeiras
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
17.06.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Palmeiras
0:4
19.10.2023
Palmeiras
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:2
09.08.2023
Palmeiras
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
02.08.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Palmeiras
0:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet