River Plate Montevideo vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores
Football Copa Libertadores River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro
Result
0:0
29/10/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaFox Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileChilevision, ESPN Premium
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
mexicoMexicoESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSporty TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
spainSpainbeIN Sports, LaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app, Pluto TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.24
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
355
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
143
Blocked Shots
150
Free Kicks
159
Corner Kicks
201
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
3214
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Fouls
915
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
500267
Completed Passes
427174
Crosses Completed
160
Interceptions
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Lyanco 🟨,
  • 28', Everson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lyanco ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
  • 58', Simon S. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
  • 58', Solari P. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
  • 58', Kranevitter M. ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
  • 63', Deyverson ↓, Rubens ↑,
  • 64', Miguel Borja ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
  • 64', Colidio F. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
  • 73', Paulinho ↓, Otavio ↑,
  • 86', Guilherme Arana ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
61.1%		Draw
22.9%		Atlético Mineiro
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 29.2% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 25.8% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-36%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+31.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.55 ↓
    (2.93)    		 4.15 ↑
    (2.85)    		 5.88 ↑
    (1.97)    		 5.7%
    (20%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
    • River Plate is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Atlético MG is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - River Plate Montevideo 3:0
    Latest results of River Plate Montevideo
    22.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - River Plate Montevideo 3:0 ✺
    19.10.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:0
    16.10.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 0:1 ✺
    12.10.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo 0:1 ✺
    04.10.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    26.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS 1:3 ✺
    22.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - River Plate Montevideo 3:0 ✺
    19.10.2024 Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro 1:1 ✺
    16.10.2024 Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro 1:1 ✺
    09.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio 2:1 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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