River Plate Montevideo vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro
Result
0:0
29/10/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaFox Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileChilevision, ESPN Premium
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
mexicoMexicoESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSporty TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
spainSpainbeIN Sports, LaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app, Pluto TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.24
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
355
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
143
Blocked Shots
150
Free Kicks
159
Corner Kicks
201
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
3214
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Fouls
915
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
500267
Completed Passes
427174
Crosses Completed
160
Interceptions
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Lyanco 🟨,
  • 28', Everson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lyanco , Renzo Saravia ,
  • 58', Simon S. , Echeverri C. ,
  • 58', Solari P. , Mastantuono F. ,
  • 58', Kranevitter M. , Villagra R. ,
  • 63', Deyverson , Rubens ,
  • 64', Miguel Borja , Bareiro A. ,
  • 64', Colidio F. , Martinez P. ,
  • 73', Paulinho , Otavio ,
  • 86', Guilherme Arana , Eduardo Vargas ,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
61.1%
Draw
22.9%
Atlético Mineiro
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 29.2% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 25.8% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-36%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+31.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (2.93)
    4.15
    (2.85)
    5.88
    (1.97)
    5.7%
    (20%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
    • River Plate is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Atlético MG is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - River Plate Montevideo 3:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ