River Plate Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
14/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
77
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
77
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Pollero R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Correa T. , Chavero J. ,
  • 61', De Leon F. , Quintana J. ,
  • 66', Copelotti M. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 66', Colombino A. , Pinheiro A. ,
  • 71', Pollero R. , Lopez I. ,
  • 72', Vera A. , Escobar M. ,
  • 75', Lopez F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 83', Lemos L. , Triver F. ,
  • 87', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 87', Silva G. , De Los Santos M. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
35%
Draw
28.6%
Progreso
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 29.8% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.5% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.52)
    3.25
    (3.11)
    2.55
    (2.78)
    7.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Progreso?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Progreso (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Progreso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
    • River Plate is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Progreso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:1
    19.10.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:0
    09.06.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    21.04.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Progreso 2:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    31.08.2025 Boston River - Progreso 2:1
    24.08.2025 Progreso - Danubio 1:0
    09.08.2025 Progreso - Cerro Largo 1:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1393122:111130
    2Maldonado1482422:15726
    3Penarol1372419:13623
    4Albion1364322:14822
    5Central Esp1463521:22-121
    6Liverpool M1455420:17320
    7Defensor Sp1355311:8320
    8Montevideo City1354419:14519
    9Nacional1361620:18219
    10Danubio1446417:20-318
    11Cerro Largo1452714:16-217
    12Boston River1452713:18-517
    13Wanderers1452715:21-617
    14Juventud1433815:21-612
    15Progreso1424811:21-1010
    16CA Cerro142488:20-1210

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