Result
3:1
08/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 14
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (361/418) | 91% (433/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (361/418) | 91% (433/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (30/50) | 64% (16/25) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (74/100) | 82% (159/194) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', Hyoran ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 9', 1 - 0, Vitor Hugo ⚽, Rony (A),
- 18', Lyanco ↓, Ruan Tressoldi ↑,
- 38', 2 - 0, Guilherme Arana ⚽,
- 40', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
- 44', Igor Gomes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ze Lucas ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 46', Igor Carius ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 53', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
- 59', Bernard ↓, Natanael ↑,
- 59', Dudu ↓, Biel ↑,
- 62', 3 - 0, Rony ⚽, Biel (A),
- 67', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Hulk ↑,
- 67', Guilherme Arana ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 67', Aderlan ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
- 77', Atencio R. ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Derik Lacerda (Pen),
- 85', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 86', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
- 90+4', Hulk 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
57.1% | Draw
25.9% | Sport Recife
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Atlético Mineiro - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.49) |
3.66 ↓
(4.58) |
5.6 ↓
(5.98) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Recife will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 4.
- Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recife is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Fausto Vera
(Stomach Disorder)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Injury)
Pablo
(Calf Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Sport Recife?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Atlético Mineiro?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Sport Recife were as follows:
22.05.2024
Sport Recife
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
30.04.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Sport Recife
2:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 62 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 57 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:28 | 13 | 47 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Vasco | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Gremio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34:47 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 24:56 | -32 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
