Sport Recife vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife).

Serie A Betano - Round 33
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	2.24
Ball Possession
31%	69%
Total shots
7	20
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
1	6
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
79% (207/262)	89% (537/601)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	2.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.52	1.78
Total shots
7	20
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
2	10
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
4	14
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	6
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
11	33
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
6	12
Passes
79% (207/262)	89% (537/601)
Long passes
45% (21/47)	63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
63% (47/75)	77% (137/178)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.43	2.30
Throw-ins
16	26
Fouls
12	6
Tackles
69% (11/16)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
36	53
Clearances
38	32
Interceptions
5	1
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
3	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.78	1.52
Goals prevented
-2.22	-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Leo Pereira ⚽, Pablo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Natanael ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
46', Caio Paulista ↓, Dudu ↑,
59', Biel ↓, Hulk ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Leo Pereira ⚽,
65', Roman I. ↓, Alexsander ↑,
65', Fausto Vera ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Hulk ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, Rony ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
72', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
77', Matheusinho ↓, Romarinho ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Alexsander ⚽, Hulk (A),
83', Lucas Kal ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
83', Rafael Thyere ↓, Riquelme ↑,
83', 2 - 4, Rony ⚽, Hulk (A),
89', Lucas Lima ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
90', Pablo ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,

Chances of winning

Sport Recife
30.9%

Draw
30.6%

Atlético Mineiro
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

30.4%

36.3%

Sport Recife - Atlético Mineiro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.83)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	2.48 ↓ (2.56)	4.7% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Atlético Mineiro?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
Recife is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético MG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Atlético MG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Hereda (Health problems) Ze Lucas (International duty) Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Bernard (Yellow Cards) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Cuello (Ankle Injury) Junior Santos (Hip Injury) Lyanco (Injury) Ruan Tressoldi (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Recife: Rafael Thyere (Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Recife won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Atlético Mineiro?

Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Sport Recife?

Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:

08.10.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Sport Recife 3:1

22.05.2024 Sport Recife - Atlético Mineiro 1:0

30.04.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Sport Recife 2:0

Latest results of Sport Recife

05.11.2025 Sport Recife - Juventude 0:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Flamengo - Sport Recife 3:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Sport Recife - Mirassol 1:2 ✺

19.10.2025 Internacional RS - Sport Recife 2:0 ✺

15.10.2025 Sport Recife - Ceará 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

05.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Bahia 3:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro 0:0 ✺

28.10.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Independiente del Valle 3:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Ceará 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Independiente del Valle - Atlético Mineiro 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ ✔	36	22	9	5	74:24	50	75
2	Palmeiras ✔	36	21	7	8	60:32	28	70
3	Cruzeiro	35	19	11	5	52:25	27	68
4	Mirassol	36	17	12	7	58:36	22	63
5	Fluminense	36	17	7	12	46:38	8	58
6	Botafogo RJ	35	16	10	9	50:32	18	58
7	Bahia	36	16	9	11	48:44	4	57
8	Sao Paulo	36	13	9	14	40:46	-6	48
9	Gremio	36	12	10	14	42:48	-6	46
10	Vasco	36	13	6	17	55:53	2	45
11	Bragantino	36	13	6	17	40:54	-14	45
12	Corinthians	35	12	9	14	38:42	-4	45
13	Atletico-MG	35	11	12	12	38:40	-2	45
14	Ceara	35	11	9	15	32:35	-3	42
15	Vitoria	36	10	12	14	34:48	-14	42
16	Santos	36	10	11	15	39:50	-11	41
17	Internacional	36	10	11	15	41:53	-12	41
18	Fortaleza	35	9	10	16	38:53	-15	37
19	Juventude	36	9	7	20	34:65	-31	34
20	Sport Recife	36	2	11	23	28:69	-41	17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

Clinched Spots for Teams

Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )