Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro
Result
2:0
04/12/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 37
  • Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
peruPeruL1 Max
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainGol Stadium
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.64
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
1111
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
15
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
36
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1320
Offsides
12
Fouls
2013
Yellow Cards
42
Throw-ins
2020
Touches in the Opposition Box
218
Passes
86% (380/441)85% (271/317)
Passes in the final third
80% (121/152)78% (50/64)
Crosses
17% (4/24)28% (5/18)
Tackles
75% (15/20)44% (8/18)
Clearances Total
1524
Interceptions
138

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Vegetti P. 🟨,
  • 43', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Vegetti P. , Coutinho (A),
  • 54', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 58', Guilherme Arana , Alisson ,
  • 58', Deyverson , Eduardo Vargas ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Coutinho , Lucas Piton (A),
  • 75', Coutinho , Payet D. ,
  • 75', Jair , Sforza J. ,
  • 76', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
  • 77', Lucas Piton 🟨,
  • 83', Alex Teixeira , Dominguez M. ,
  • 89', Hugo Moura , Paulinho Paula ,
  • 90', Lucas Piton , Leandrinho ,
  • 90+5', Leandrinho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
32%
Draw
31%
Atlético Mineiro
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 28.6% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 28.8% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.37)
    3.06
    (3.31)
    2.57
    (3.03)
    5.4%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35%88%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2.
    • Vasco has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Atlético MG is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Injury) David (Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vasco: Paulinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Vasco won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:27 (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro 1:1
    02.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    21.07.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama 2:0
    20.08.2023 Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro 1:0
    15.04.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama 1:2
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bragantino1783620:20027
    5Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Corinthians1756616:20-421
    9Fluminense1462616:17-120
    10Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    11Internacional1555516:19-320
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1545614:21-717
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Santos1643915:21-615
    17Vasco1442815:19-414
    18Fortaleza1535716:21-514
    19Juventude1432910:29-1911
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet