Result
1:1
10/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 19
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (376/428) | 81% (286/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (376/428) | 81% (286/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (62/89) | 66% (63/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Gabriel Menino ⚽, Cuello (A),
- 6', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. (Pen),
- 42', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Igor Gomes ↓, Alexsander ↑,
- 64', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
- 67', Alexsander 🟨,
- 71', Gabriel Menino ↓, Biel ↑,
- 71', Cuello ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 80', Coutinho ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 88', Rony ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 88', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 89', Paulo Henrique ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
- 90+4', Vegetti P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
36% | Draw
31.7% | Atlético Mineiro
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.26) |
3 ↓
(3.1) |
2.95 ↓
(3.4) |
5.1%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
GB
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Piton
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Reinier
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Atlético Mineiro?
Vasco da Gama has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vasco da Gama?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
04.12.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:0
19.10.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
02.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
21.07.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
20.08.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 36:19 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 41:24 | 17 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 40 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 | Gremio | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | Vasco | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38:35 | 3 | 30 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 28 |
| 15 | Internacional | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 17 | Juventude | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vitoria | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 22 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 16:35 | -19 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
