Result
2:0
04/12/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 37
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Gol Stadium |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (380/441) | 85% (271/317) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 80% (121/152) | 78% (50/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 28% (5/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 44% (8/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Vegetti P. 🟨,
- 43', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 0, Vegetti P. ⚽, Coutinho (A),
- 54', Franco A. 🟨,
- 58', Guilherme Arana ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 58', Deyverson ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Coutinho ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
- 75', Coutinho ↓, Payet D. ↑,
- 75', Jair ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
- 76', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 77', Lucas Piton 🟨,
- 83', Alex Teixeira ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 89', Hugo Moura ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 90', Lucas Piton ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
- 90+5', Leandrinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
32% | Draw
31% | Atlético Mineiro
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.37) |
3.06 ↓
(3.31) |
2.57 ↓
(3.03) |
5.4%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2.
- Vasco has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Atlético MG is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Injury)
David
(Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Paulinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Vasco won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:27 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Atlético Mineiro?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vasco da Gama?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
19.10.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
02.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
21.07.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
20.08.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
15.04.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vasco da Gama
1:2
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Gremio | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
