Result
1:1
10/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 19
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.79 | 1.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
88% (376/428) | 81% (286/355) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.79 | 1.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.61 | 0.54 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
88% (376/428) | 81% (286/355) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (12/29) | 52% (30/58) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (62/89) | 66% (63/95) |
Crosses |
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27% (6/22) | 32% (6/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.94 | 1.25 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 50% (10/20) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.54 | 1.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.46 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Gabriel Menino ⚽, Cuello (A),
- 6', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. (Pen),
- 42', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Igor Gomes ↓, Alexsander ↑,
- 64', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
- 67', Alexsander 🟨,
- 71', Gabriel Menino ↓, Biel ↑,
- 71', Cuello ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 80', Coutinho ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 88', Rony ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 88', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 89', Paulo Henrique ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
- 90+4', Vegetti P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama 36% | Draw 31.7% | Atlético Mineiro 32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.64 ↑ (2.26) |
3 ↓ (3.1) |
2.95 ↓ (3.4) |
5.1% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
GB
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Piton
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Reinier
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Atlético Mineiro?
Vasco da Gama has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vasco da Gama?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
04.12.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:0
19.10.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
02.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
21.07.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
20.08.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet