Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro).

Serie A Betano - Round 19
Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Israel	Sport 2
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	1.27
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
6	10
Passes
88% (376/428)	81% (286/355)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.61	0.54
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
8	7
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
7	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
6	10
Touches in opposition box
17	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
88% (376/428)	81% (286/355)
Long passes
41% (12/29)	52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
70% (62/89)	66% (63/95)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.94	1.25
Throw-ins
18	20
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
79% (11/14)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
46	42
Clearances
32	21
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.54	1.61
Goals prevented
-0.46	0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Gabriel Menino ⚽, Cuello (A),
6', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. (Pen),
42', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Igor Gomes ↓, Alexsander ↑,
64', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
67', Alexsander 🟨,
71', Gabriel Menino ↓, Biel ↑,
71', Cuello ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
80', Coutinho ↓, Garre B. ↑,
88', Rony ↓, Bernard ↑,
88', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
89', Paulo Henrique ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
90+4', Vegetti P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vasco da Gama
36%

Draw
31.7%

Atlético Mineiro
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30%

27.4%

Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.26)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.95 ↓ (3.4)	5.1% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54% – 99.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) GB (Muscle Injury) Lucas Piton (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Reinier (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Atlético Mineiro?

Vasco da Gama has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vasco da Gama?

Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:

04.12.2024 Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro 2:0

19.10.2024 Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro 1:1

02.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama 2:1

21.07.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama 2:0

20.08.2023 Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro 1:0

Latest results of Vasco da Gama

07.08.2025 Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano 3:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Mirassol - Vasco da Gama 3:2 ✺

30.07.2025 CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama 0:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama 1:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

06.08.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo 1:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino 2:1 ✺

31.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 0:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺

24.07.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ ✔	36	22	9	5	74:24	50	75
2	Palmeiras ✔	36	21	7	8	60:32	28	70
3	Cruzeiro	35	19	11	5	52:25	27	68
4	Mirassol	36	17	12	7	58:36	22	63
5	Fluminense	36	17	7	12	46:38	8	58
6	Botafogo RJ	35	16	10	9	50:32	18	58
7	Bahia	36	16	9	11	48:44	4	57
8	Sao Paulo	36	13	9	14	40:46	-6	48
9	Gremio	36	12	10	14	42:48	-6	46
10	Vasco	36	13	6	17	55:53	2	45
11	Bragantino	36	13	6	17	40:54	-14	45
12	Corinthians	35	12	9	14	38:42	-4	45
13	Atletico-MG	35	11	12	12	38:40	-2	45
14	Ceara	35	11	9	15	32:35	-3	42
15	Vitoria	36	10	12	14	34:48	-14	42
16	Santos	36	10	11	15	39:50	-11	41
17	Internacional	36	10	11	15	41:53	-12	41
18	Fortaleza	35	9	10	16	38:53	-15	37
19	Juventude	36	9	7	20	34:65	-31	34
20	Sport Recife	36	2	11	23	28:69	-41	17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

Clinched Spots for Teams

Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )