Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte).

Serie A Betano - Round 38
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.01
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
19	1
Shots on target
6	0
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
91% (595/655)	85% (399/467)
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.51	0.00
Total shots
19	1
Shots on target
6	0
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
10	0
Shots outside the Box
9	1
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
27	5
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
4	13
Passes
91% (595/655)	85% (399/467)
Long passes
43% (16/37)	45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
85% (221/261)	57% (30/53)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.50	0.10
Throw-ins
16	13
Fouls
13	4
Tackles
50% (5/10)	40% (4/10)
Duels won
21	36
Clearances
6	18
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.00	1.51
Goals prevented
0.00	-2.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Alonso J. ⚽, Rony (A),
31', Hugo Moura 🟥,
32', 2 - 0, Hulk ⚽,
35', Vegetti P. ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Dudu ⚽, Hulk (A),
56', Rony ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
69', 4 - 0, Dudu ⚽, Igor Gomes (A),
70', Bernard ↓, Alexsander ↑,
70', Renzo Saravia ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
70', Vitor Hugo ↓, Ruan Tressoldi ↑,
72', Matheus Franca ↓, Guilherme Estrella ↑,
72', Tche Tche ↓, GB ↑,
72', David ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
75', 5 - 0, Victor Luis (Own goal),
78', Dudu ↓, Cuello ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Atlético Mineiro
59%

Draw
24.2%

Vasco da Gama
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.4%

20.3%

Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	3.9 ↑ (3.84)	5.6 ↑ (4.63)	5.8% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2.
Atlético MG has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vasco is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético MG is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Junior Santos (Hip Injury) Lyanco (Achilles Tendon Injury) Patrick Silva (Injury)
There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) Cuesta C. (Yellow Cards) Garre B. (Pelvis Injury) Jair (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cuello (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Vasco: Lucas Piton (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vasco da Gama?

Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Atlético Mineiro?

Vasco da Gama has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama were as follows:

10.08.2025 Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro 1:1

04.12.2024 Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro 2:0

19.10.2024 Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro 1:1

02.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama 2:1

21.07.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama 2:0

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

03.12.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras 0:3 ✺

30.11.2025 Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺

25.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo 1:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Lanús - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺

16.11.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Vasco da Gama

02.12.2025 Vasco da Gama - Mirassol 0:2 ✺

28.11.2025 Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS 5:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Bahia - Vasco da Gama 1:0 ✺

19.11.2025 Grêmio - Vasco da Gama 2:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Vasco da Gama - Juventude 1:3 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet