Result
0:4
26/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos, Flow Sports |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (449/492) | 93% (451/486) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 3.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (449/492) | 93% (451/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (20/31) | 55% (16/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (122/144) | 83% (87/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.50 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', 0 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
- 26', Varela G. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 2, Plata G. ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
- 45+1', 0 - 3, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Varela G. (A),
- 45+3', Samuel Lino 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bernard ↓, Minda A. ↑,
- 46', Franco A. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
- 48', Perez T. 🟨,
- 72', Samuel Lino ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 73', Jorginho ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 74', Maycon ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 74', Cuello ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 83', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 83', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
- 84', 0 - 4, Pedro ⚽, Evertton Araujo (A),
- 86', Leo Pereira ↓, Vitao ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
22.8% | Draw
27.4% | Flamengo
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.14 ↑
(3.32) |
3.44 ↑
(3.18) |
1.92 ↓
(2.13) |
5.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
- Recent performances by Atlético MG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Flamengo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Flamengo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Lodi R.
(Red Card)
Patrick Silva
(Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Pulgar E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Flamengo?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Atlético Mineiro?
Flamengo has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo were as follows:
25.11.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Flamengo
1:1
06.08.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Flamengo
1:1
31.07.2025
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:1
27.07.2025
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
13.11.2024
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
