Ferroviária vs Atlético Monte Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Cantarelli M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
59.1%
Draw
25%
Atlético Monte Azul
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 24.2% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 23.5% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Atlético Monte Azul aligns with the current prediction.
  • Ferroviária - Atlético Monte Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.54)
    3.63
    (3.79)
    5.74
    (5.61)
    10.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Atlético Monte Azul?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 13).
    • Ferroviária has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Monte Azul's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Ferroviária is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Atlético Monte Azul were as follows:
    17.01.2024 Atlético Monte Azul - Ferroviária 1:1
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Latest results of Atlético Monte Azul
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    Second stage

    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Votuporanguense ✔ 541012:3913
    2Ituano52125:7-27
    3Piracicaba51225:415
    4Agua Santa50232:10-82


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventus-SP ✔ 54017:3412
    2Ferroviaria53028:539
    3Sao Jose EC52034:7-36
    4Sertaozinho51044:8-43

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Juventus-SP is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)