Sertãozinho vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 5

Match Stats

Red cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Thiago M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+8', 🟥,
  • 90+8', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Sertãozinho
26.2%
Draw
30.6%
Ferroviária
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 28.1% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 27.1% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Sertãozinho - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.47
    (3.51)
    2.97
    (3.22)
    2.11
    (1.96)
    9.8%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ferroviária might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sertãozinho won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sertãozinho - Ferroviária were as follows:
    18.03.2026 Ferroviária - Sertãozinho 1:2
    14.02.2026 Ferroviária - Sertãozinho 3:2
    Latest results of Sertãozinho
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Votuporanguense (1)Juventus-SP (2)0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2Ferroviaria (1)Ituano (2)1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Juventus-SP (2)Ferroviaria (1)