Atlético La Paz vs Atlético Morelia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
19/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
59
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Barragan M. , Millan O. (A),
  • 17', Ortega W. 🟨,
  • 23', Ortega W. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Alvarez D. ,
  • 34', Garcia G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Barragan M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez J. , Anzar A. ,
  • 46', Islas O. , Moreno G. ,
  • 46', Galindo J. , Garcia U. ,
  • 51', Parra D. 🟨,
  • 62', Figueroa B. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 64', Torres H. 🟨,
  • 67', Alvarez D. , Hernandez D. ,
  • 67', Bass A. , Gutierrez L. ,
  • 67', Millan O. , Renteria R. ,
  • 77', Flores A. , del Campo R. ,
  • 84', Alaffita Garcia E. J. , Chiu L. ,
  • 87', Hernandez D. 🟨,
  • 88', Torres H. , Flores R. ,
  • 90+3', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético La Paz
32.8%
Draw
23.2%
Atlético Morelia
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 26% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 25.1% 47.7%

Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.85
(3.29)
4.04
(3.56)
2.13
(2.01)
6.9%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Atlético La Paz (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Atlético Morelia (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlético Morelia (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 0.
    • Recent performances by Atlético La Paz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Morelia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1.2:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz 4:1
    27.09.2024 Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia 0:1
    09.01.2024 Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia 1:1
    10.09.2023 Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz 2:0
    19.01.2023 Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia 3:3
    Latest results of Atlético La Paz
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia22006:066
    2Atletico La Paz21105:234
    3Tapatio21106:424
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos21102:114
    5Zacatecas Mineros21015:323
    6Venados21016:513
    7Cancun21013:213
    8Irapuato21015:503
    9Leones Negros21015:503
    10Dorados de Sinaloa21013:4-13
    11Tlaxcala21012:4-23
    12Atlante10101:101
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca10010:3-30
    14Jaiba Brava20021:5-40
    15Correcaminos20020:6-60

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)