Result
19/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Atlético La Paz
34.9% | Draw
23.8% | Atlético Morelia
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético La Paz's performance.Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Morelia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(3.29) |
3.89 ↑
(3.56) |
2.25 ↑
(2.01) |
7.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 0.
- In recent matches, Atlético La Paz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Morelia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1.2:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Atlético Morelia?
Atlético La Paz has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Atlético La Paz?
Atlético Morelia has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
15.03.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlético La Paz
4:1
27.09.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Atlético Morelia
0:1
09.01.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
10.09.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlético La Paz
2:0
19.01.2023
Atlético La Paz
-
Atlético Morelia
3:3
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Atl. Morelia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlante | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leones Negros | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Venados | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
