Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Villa R. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Figueroa B. 🟨,
- 16', Robles C. 🟨,
- 38', Jaimes U. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jaimes U. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 46', Vazquez I. ↓, Del Aguila Y. ↑,
- 46', Chiu L. ↓, Illescas F. ↑,
- 53', Pasquel Colin R. 🟨,
- 58', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
- 61', Moreno G. ↓, Botello O. ↑,
- 61', Figueroa B. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 63', Torres H. 🟨,
- 66', del Campo R. ↓, Munoz Z. ↑,
- 75', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,
- 79', Barragan M. 🟨,
- 81', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Daccarett J. ↑,
- 82', Nambo M. 🟨,
- 83', Nambo M. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 89', Torres H. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 0, Vazquez B. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
56% | Draw
22.6% | Atlético La Paz
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.64) |
4.1 ↓
(4.14) |
4.33 ↓
(4.58) |
8.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Atlético La Paz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Morelia is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Atlético La Paz?
Atlético Morelia has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Atlético Morelia?
Atlético La Paz has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
19.09.2025
Atlético La Paz
-
Atlético Morelia
3:0
15.03.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlético La Paz
4:1
27.09.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Atlético Morelia
0:1
09.01.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
10.09.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Atlético La Paz
2:0
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
