Atlético La Paz vs Atlético Morelia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia
Result
3:0
19/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
59
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Barragan M. , Millan O. (A),
  • 17', Ortega W. 🟨,
  • 23', Ortega W. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Alvarez D. ,
  • 34', Garcia G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Barragan M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez J. , Anzar A. ,
  • 46', Islas O. , Moreno G. ,
  • 46', Galindo J. , Garcia U. ,
  • 51', Parra D. 🟨,
  • 62', Figueroa B. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 64', Torres H. 🟨,
  • 67', Alvarez D. , Hernandez D. ,
  • 67', Bass A. , Gutierrez L. ,
  • 67', Millan O. , Renteria R. ,
  • 77', Flores A. , del Campo R. ,
  • 84', Alaffita Garcia E. J. , Chiu L. ,
  • 87', Hernandez D. 🟨,
  • 88', Torres H. , Flores R. ,
  • 90+3', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético La Paz
32.8%
Draw
23.2%
Atlético Morelia
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 26% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 25.1% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3.29)
    4.04
    (3.56)
    2.13
    (2.01)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 0.
    • Recent performances by Atlético La Paz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Morelia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1.2:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz 4:1
    27.09.2024 Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia 0:1
    09.01.2024 Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia 1:1
    10.09.2023 Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz 2:0
    19.01.2023 Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia 3:3
    Latest results of Atlético La Paz
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun971117:41322
    2Tampico Madero862014:8620
    3Atlante961221:81319
    4Tepatitlan de Morelos1045119:11817
    5Irapuato952217:11617
    6Leones Negros933314:12212
    7Atletico La Paz933319:18112
    8Tlaxcala1033411:19-812
    9Tapatio1032513:12111
    10Venados932422:24-211
    11Atl. Morelia932413:18-511
    12Zacatecas Mineros824214:14010
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca921611:19-87
    14Correcaminos1013614:27-136
    15Dorados de Sinaloa101096:20-143

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)