Atlético Morelia vs Atlético La Paz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz
Result
4:1
15/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Ortiz Leon J. C. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoESPN 4
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
66%34%
Goal Attempts
225
Shots on Goal
133
Shots off Goal
92
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
29
Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Vazquez B. ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Trejo C. (Pen),
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Jaimes U. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gallegos D. , Romero P. ,
  • 46', Gomez Del Rosal N. , Vazquez I. ,
  • 46', Ferrer J. , Garcia G. ,
  • 49', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,
  • 63', Gutierrez L. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 69', Zurita Jimenez U. 🟨,
  • 73', Del Aguila Y. , Galindo A. ,
  • 73', Hernandez D. , Renteria R. ,
  • 75', Garcia G. 🟨,
  • 75', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Dominguez M. ,
  • 80', Trejo C. , Polydoro L. ,
  • 80', Dominguez M. , Nambo M. ,
  • 81', Nambo M. 🟨,
  • 85', Figueroa F. , Medellin S. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Polydoro L. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Morelia
55.1%
Draw
23.8%
Atlético La Paz
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 23.1% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 23.1% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.63)
    3.89
    (4.01)
    4.38
    (4.62)
    8.3%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 13).
    • Recent matches Atlético Morelia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético La Paz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Atlético La Paz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético Morelia is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:6 (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Morelia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia 0:1
    09.01.2024 Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia 1:1
    10.09.2023 Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz 2:0
    19.01.2023 Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia 3:3
    18.09.2022 Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz 4:2
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Latest results of Atlético La Paz
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)